February 12th, 2012
Published Daily
COMMENTARY for Thursday

Although we remain as bearish on the U.S. economy as anyone we know, our obsessive focus on the shares of Goldman Sachs has kept us unwaveringly bullish throughout the stock market’s spectacular bear rally. Most recently, ever since Goldman hit a bullish tripwire at $121 a couple of weeks ago, we’ve been looking for the stock to continue up to at least $144.19.  That’s a key resistance that we refer to as a Hidden Pivot, and it has the potential to stop the rally cold. » Read the full article


TODAY'S ACTION for Thursday

White Collar Crime

by Rick Ackerman on May 7, 2009 12:01 am GMT

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Rick's Picks for Thursday
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SLW – Silver Wheaton (Last:8.85)

by Rick Ackerman on May 7, 2009 12:01 am GMT

We are trying to short four June 10 calls against the September 10 calls we already hold for an average 0.69.  Since we were unable to consummate the sale yesterday for 0.50, let’s ratchet up the greed factor and shoot for 0.60, good through Friday.  They looked so heavy yesterday that we can only infer DaBoyz want to take them higher; their goal is the same as ours.

ESM09 – E-Mini S&P (Last:909.00)

by Rick Ackerman on May 7, 2009 12:01 am GMT

es-hit-lower-of-two-targets-smallEarly Wednesday evening, the futures were playing toe-sies with the 917.75 Hidden Pivot target identified in yesterday early-morning update. They have been no higher than that today, but we shouldn’t rely too heavily on the pivot’s stopping power.  If and when it gets smashed, look for the futures to continue higher, to at least 933.50. That’s a Hidden Pivot we identified during yesterday morning’s webinar for seminar grads, and it’s shortable with a stop-loss as tight as three ticks.  Even more advantageously, night owls should look for “camouflaged” entry opportunities on the long side, since a trade from these levels has $1000 of profit potential per contract, in theory. _______ UPDATE (4:25 a.m.):  Looks like DaBoyz are struggling to keep ES from running away. 912.00 has been the overnight low so far, but the futures have since rebounded to puncture Wednesday’s high. This all but clinches the predicted run-up to at least 933.50.    _______ FURTHER UPDATE(11:30 a.m.):  The chart shows that this morning’s high occurred a tick off the ‘D’ target derived from the “one-off” point ‘A’.

june-golds-next-thrustGold looks well fortified to buck the insanity on Wall Street, so expect it to hang out at worst if the broad averages get goosed higher again today. However, if the June futures break higher, we should expect the rally to hit a minimum 934.10 before week’s end. As the accompanying chat shows, the rally is having little trouble sustaining altitude above a Hidden Pivot midpoint at 907.10. Our benchmark for an irresistible breakout is still 935.90.

$SLW – Silver Wheaton (Last:35.93)

by Rick Ackerman on February 9, 2012 4:24 am GMT

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$GS – Goldman Sachs (Last:116.29)

by Rick Ackerman on February 8, 2012 3:36 am GMT

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Dow Industrial Average (DJIA) price chart with targetsTake any dozen good reasons for being bearish right now and they still don’t equal the bullishness of the chart shown. The undeniably compelling rally objective is 13085, a 4.8% move from current levels, and one can only surmise that the dusting the 12158 midpoint received on the last pullback (12/28) all but clinched a finishing stroke to the higher number. Moreover, it implies that bears shouldn’t get their hopes too high even if, in the next few days, the Dow plummets 324 points to retest the midpoint support. As of now, that would signal not weakness, but a screaming opportunity to get long.  Hard to believe, really, but that’s what the charts say. 


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