March 11th, 2010
Published Daily
COMMENTARY for Friday

Cramer and Abby Help Drive Bull Frenzy

by Rick Ackerman on August 7, 2009 12:01 am GMT · 11 comments

Cramer says commercial real estate has bottomed, and Abby Joseph Cohen evidently thinks we’re in a new bull market. The uncharitable thought, “Idiots!” springs to mind, but neither of these celebrated commentators lacks for brains, as we well know. Abby is simply following a how-to-succeed script that she wrote years ago and which has made her rich and powerful, to wit:  Remain outrageously bullish no matter what the economy is doing, and sooner or later investors will embrace your every utterance as though it were the Sermon on the Mount. She was out-of-fashion and nowhere to be seen in the late stages » Read the full article


TODAY'S ACTION for Friday

Unemployment ‘Jitters’

by Rick Ackerman on August 7, 2009 12:01 am GMT

Investors supposedly are jittery about the unemployment numbers due out this morning, but it’s hard to see how anything below 10% would set off an alarm. On the other hand, if the number comes in lower than the usual bunch of numbskulls supposedly were expecting, bears might have to scramble for cover.


Rick's Picks for Friday
$ = Actionable Advice + = Open Position
Current  Actionable  Open
All Picks By Issue:

YMU09 – E-Mini Dow (Last:9224)

by Rick Ackerman on August 7, 2009 12:01 am GMT

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GCZ09 – Comex December Gold (Last:965.10)

by Rick Ackerman on August 7, 2009 12:01 am GMT

A Hidden Pivot at ____ is still my minimum upside expectation for the near term, but if the futures pull back before launching toward that number, they would likely find traction near _____, its midpoint sibling. The most bullish scenario I could imagine for today would be a close above ____.  That would make the target at _____ broached here earlier a shoe-in next week....

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ESU09 – E-Mini S&P (Last:994.75)

by Rick Ackerman on August 7, 2009 12:01 am GMT

The futures showed surprising resilience yesterday, considering that bulls (and bears) got sandbagged on a gap-up opening.  It was predictable that the bulls would fail to recover fully from the blow, since they came in all fired up on the heels of a two-day correction.  However, we might have expected their losses for the day to be larger, since the reversal was so swift and punitive, coming as it did in the oprning minutes of the session, and off a fleeting high above Wednesday's.  All in all, I see latent strength here, even if the futures have to come down to a Hidden Pivot at ____ today -- six points beneath yesterday's low -- to base for the next short-squeeze. If, instead, they hit _____ first, that would imply buyers are likely to carry the day -- and the week -- with a push to as high as _____ (a Hidden Pivot)....

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SIDE BETS for Friday

DXY – NYBOT Dollar Index (Last: 78.02)

by Rick Ackerman on August 7, 2009 12:01 am GMT

Threatened by a fall of the cliff, DXY seems to have summoned hidden reserves of buying power; however, it will still need to hit a minimum 78.49 today in order to “actualize” yesterday’s potential.  Although the intraday high exceeded a minor Hidden Pivot resistance at 78.12, the two-cent overshoot was not sufficient to leave us with a bullish bias.

UNG – U.S. Natural Gas Fund (Last: 13.20)

by Rick Ackerman on August 7, 2009 12:01 am GMT

UNG slightly exceeded a Hidden Pivot at 14.12 that has been coming for a week, but it remains to be seen whether buyers will get second wind for a push to another at 14.36.  If there is strength percolating beneath the surface, we should expect the steep correction begun yesterday to go no further than 13.01, a ‘midpoint’ pivot whose ‘D’ sibling lies at 12.58.