CLZ11 – December Crude (Last:98.32)

December Crude (CLZ11) price chart with targetsI’m establishing a tracking position for your further guidance, since yesterday’s high came within 9 cents of a 99.60 rally target that I’d promoted aggressively as a “can’t miss” top.  Assuming four contracts shorted at the target and two exited at 98.44 — halfway between the high and the so-far pullback low — we are hypothetically short two contracts with an effective  cost basis of 100.85.  Now, you can cover one at will — the futures are currently trading for 98.31 — and tie the remaining 25% of your position to a fixed stop-loss at 99.41. Our new cost basis for the remaining contract (or 25% of the original position if more than four were bought initially), imputing paper profits so far, is 103.39  ______ UPDATE: Crude Whoopee Cushioned higher, stopping us out for a profit, on paper, of slightly less than $4,000 per contract.  Now, it looks to me like the futures could reach 108.67 on this run-up, so if you apply your profits to a next trade, your bias should be bullish.

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