October 21st, 2014
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Video: Goldman, MF Global and the Euro Mess

by Ricks Picks on December 12, 2011 4:47 am GMT · 1 comment

Yesterday, Rick appeared on The Keiser Report. Rick and Max discussed Goldman’s death dive and MF Global’s crimes against the markets. Rick’s segment begins 12 minutes and 55 seconds into the video.


TODAY'S ACTION for Monday

Gold and Silver were getting pounded in the middle of the night, although index futures were down only enough to suggest that Da Dirtballs were shaking out sellers.  Their by-now-familiar trick is to make certain that the contracts they’ve stolen from widows and pensioners in the wee hours can be short-squeezed higher with almost no resistance before the opening bell.  The (small) gamble is that sunrise will not bring word of Europe’s demise.


Rick's Picks for Monday
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QQQQ – Nasdaq ETF (Last:56.18)

by Rick Ackerman on December 12, 2011 8:46 am GMT

With the E-Mini S&P hitting our rally target in the final moments of Friday’s session, we bought four QQQ Jan 54 puts or Jan 53 puts, respectively, for 0.96 or 0.74. These are keepers, since just about anything could happen between now and January 20 when the options expire. Do nothing further for now.  _______ UPDATE (11:02 a.m.EST):  In the chat room a moment ago, I suggested cashing out half of the puts at current prices: 1.16 for the Jan 54s, 0.91 for the Jan 53s.  That leaves us with two puts at either strike and a profit adjusted cost basis for each, respectively, of 0.76 and 0.57. Let’s spread off the risk by turning the positions in calendar spreads, shorting a December put for each Jan 54 put or Jan 53 put you currently hold. Do so in a 1:1 ratio, and shoot for putting on the spread for “even” or better.  What this means is that you will short the puts for the cost basis of the puts you now hold, selling December 53 puts for 0.57 (currently trading for around 0.09) and December 54 puts for 0.76 (currently trading for around 0.18).

Although the course of action suggested above may seem very conservative, it is essential that we nail down partial profits on option positions when possible, particularly on puts that have “come in.”  In the several decades that exchange-listed puts have been offered, instances in which put holders enjoyed more than three consecutive pleasurable days have been non-existent. I would dare say that at least 95 percent of all puts ever purchased “naked” have lost money for the trader.

Click here if you’d like to learn more about the Hidden Pivot Method, including how to identify and trade targets such as the ones used above, and to forecast trends with bold confidence.

ESH12 – March E-Mini S&P (Last:1250.25.)

by Rick Ackerman on December 12, 2011 9:10 am GMT

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GCG12 – February Gold (Last:1670.40)

by Rick Ackerman on December 12, 2011 9:28 am GMT

February Gold (GCG12) price chart with targetsThe bad guys had gold on the run Sunday night, presumably bound for the 1672.30 downside target of the pattern shown.  It would take nothing less than a pop to 1733.00 overnight or Monday to put bulls back on the offensive. The bearish target can be bottom-fished — preferably with camouflage, but if you want to take the easy (but somewhat riskier) path, because the pattern has such gnarly appeal, you can bid 1672.40 with a 0.50-point stop-loss. Nimble traders can also look for a turn at 1685.70, the midpoint support of the lesser pattern shown with purple ABC coordinates.  Keep in mind that ‘camo’ shorts would be aligned with some even larger downtrends that point to either 1638.00 or 1633.10_______ UPDATE (11:43 a.m. EST):  Bottom-fishing at 1672.30 could have produced a small profit, but probably no worse than a scratch when the futures subsequently headed lower. There was a 12-minute bounce of $3.40 from 1672.60 at 8:42 a.m. (3-min); and a $3.80 bounce from 1672.00 that lasted just a few minutes. Since we were using an initial stop-loss of 50 cents, the bounce we’d anticipated need only have been $1.50 to give us a reason to take a partial profit on half the position.

SIH12 – March Silver (Last:31.540)

by Rick Ackerman on December 12, 2011 9:52 am GMT

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$DIA – Dow Industrials ETF (Last:163.65)

by Rick Ackerman on October 21, 2014 3:24 am GMT

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$ESZ14 – Dec E-Mini S&P (Last:1897.50)

by Rick Ackerman on October 21, 2014 2:25 am GMT

The market has gone ornery and untradable on us, presumably because everyone and his mother is going at it with the same idea of getting short. Although yesterday’s forecast here got the trend right and even nailed the intraday high, 1902.50, to the exact tick, the prediction was valueless for trading purposes. That’s because the ratcheting, exceedingly tedious rally generated a string of minor corrections that were equal to or greater than each subsequent leg up. Not exactly the risk:reward proposition we are looking for.  I proffered a still higher target at 1911.00 if 1902.50 was exceeded, which it has been in after-hours trading.  Night owls can use their own judgment to determine how to catch the implied ride north, but I wouldn’t look for easy pickings if there’s still a few points left in the move at Tuesday’s opening bell.

$GCZ14 – December Gold (Last:1236.60)

by Rick Ackerman on October 20, 2014 12:47 am GMT

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$CLX14 – November Crude (Last:83.00)

by Rick Ackerman on October 17, 2014 1:15 am GMT

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$TLT – Lehman Bond ETF (Last:122.01)

by Rick Ackerman on October 17, 2014 12:01 am GMT

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$USZ14 – December T-Bonds (Last:143^08)

by Rick Ackerman on October 16, 2014 6:43 am GMT

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$+JNK – High-Yield Bond ETF (Last:39.38)

by Rick Ackerman on October 14, 2014 7:55 am GMT

There were no reports to confirm a price in the chat room, but I’ll use a 0.72 cost basis for four Nov 22 39-strike calls I’d recommending buying yesterday. It is not a healthy sign that JNK closed beneath the 39.40 target, albeit only by a few cents.  Based on the earlier tout, you should stop yourself out of the calls if they trade for 0.57. ______ UPDATE (October 14, 7:35 p.m. EDT): JNK has taken a modest bounce from the targeted low, but the calls remain leaden. Stick to the 0.57 stop-loss, which is intended to limit the theoretical loss from this play to $60. You should make the stop-loss o-c-o (one-order-cancels-the-other) with an offer to sell two of the calls currently held for 1.40, effectively zeroing out risk.  Obviously, it will take a sustained, powerful rally to get the offer filled. _______ UPDATE (October 16, 12:46 a.m.): We’ll back away for now, since I’d rather be shorting this flying pig when it’s airborne rather than emerging from a wallow.

$HGZ14 – December Copper (Last:3.0100)

by Rick Ackerman on October 6, 2014 9:30 am GMT

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$SNIPF – Snipp Interactive (Last:0.3400)

by Rick Ackerman on September 5, 2014 3:05 am GMT

I first touted Snipp Interactive back in January, when it was trading around 0.15. Although the stock subsequently fell to a dime, it has since rallied sharply, settling at 0.2562 yesterday. This is one of my favorite stocks, and I came away from a conference call with its CEO, Atul Sabharwal, eager to sing their praises. During that call, I hit Atul with my best idea, a sweepstakes-type promotion, but he was already three steps ahead of me, able to cite, for one, New York State’s rules and costs for exactly the type of marketing scheme I’d suggested.

Full disclosure: I hold 100,000 shares plus warrants to purchase another 50,000 shares.  But I hope that won’t discourage you from performing your own due diligence, since you are likely to be as impressed as I was when you find out what the company has been up to. For me, at least, Snipp (OTC: SNIPF) perfectly satisfies Peter Lynch’s rule that investors favor companies whose strengths and methods they can understand. Snipp does interactive marketing that allows clients to track results in real time. The results have been sufficiently impressive that the company has been attracting blue chip clients with little difficulty. Read more about SNIPP by clicking here.

From a technical standpoint, although the stock’s chart history is thin, it’s possible to project a near-term rally target of 0.2730. A tenet of Hidden Pivot analysis is that an easy move through such targeted resistance implies there is unspent buying power percolating beneath the surface. This is not a “hot tip;” indeed, Snipp’s story does not lend itself to the kind of hubris that will result in a $10 billion IPO. But it is an aggressive and imaginative pioneer in a rapidly developing niche, and its CEO has the kind of imagination, intelligence and energy that inspires confidence. _______ UPDATE (Sep 22, 8:30 p.m.): The stock has continued to rally, and the closest Hidden Pivot target is now 0.2668.  If that Hidden Pivot is exceeded on a closing basis for two days, however, a target at 0.3474 would be in play. _______ UPDATE (Sep 23):  Snipp has entered the Brazilian market via an exclusive marketing contract with Petrobas. Click here for the news release. ______ UPDATE (Sep 23, 1:57 p.m. EDT):  The stock has gone bonkers today, up six cents to within less than a penny of the 0.3474 target projected two days ago. _______ UPDATE (October 12, 9:20 p.m.): The stock has come down hard after peaking three weeks ago at 0.34, but I view the move as a corrective opportunity to accumulate more shares.


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The Hidden Pivot Webinar is one-day event is designed to teach you the risk-averse trading strategies Rick has taken to his seminars around the world. Once you have learned his proprietary secrets, you will approach trading and investing with enough confidence to make your own decisions without having to rely on the advice of others. The next Webinar will take place on October 16, 2014. For more information, or to register, click here.