ESU14 – Sep E-Mini S&P (Last:1969.25)

Slippage beneath the red line (p) late in Tuesday’s session implies the futures will now grope their way down to at least 1954.50 in search of traction.  This target is a pretty one, and I’d have no qualms about telling you to bottom-fish there with a three-tick stop-loss if it were hit intraday. However, because the target is being disseminated overnight and therefore will not be as fresh and mysterious when the futures get there, I’ll advise a cautious approach that suits your style if you plan to bottom-fish. As always, the most logical short would be from p if the retracement rally now in progress gets there.  Trading concerns aside, if the downtrend smashes the support it would indicate that the selling is waxing. _______ UPDATE (2:18 p.m.): Today’s hysterical, obligatory short-squeeze has come from 1956.50, cheating us out of an easy trade from the target I’d identified.  There’ll be other opportunities, for sure.  However, because the turn has come from a low that didn’t quite reach a clear correction target, bears had better give the rally wide berth.