Is the Surge in Long-Term Rates Over?


It’s been a while since I’ve updated my forecast for a rise in long-term Treasury rates to 3.409%, a benchmark that sits well above the current rate of around 3.047%. Although the target is still in play (see TYX tout and chart at bottom), I am not suggesting buying the pullback at these levels because there’s technical evidence the correction begun three weeks ago from 3.197% has farther to go. Moreover, if the decline were to exceed 3.025% to the downside, that would turn the daily chart impulsively bearish, adding to the evidence that long-term rates have seen their highs, possibly for a long while.

Comments on this entry are closed.

John Jay January 4, 2017, 10:12 pm

Hard to tell what is actually going on in the US T Bond/Note market.
My take is that a message is being sent to any foreign government holding large amounts of US Government Paper.
The message?
If you are going to sell your holdings, you had better get our approval first.
Otherwise you will be selling into a whirlpool, and can count on getting screwed.
And when you have finished selling into a declining market, we can and will send those prices right back up, just to rub it in.
In other words, “We will control the horizontal, we will control the vertical.”
You can work with us, or you can experience “The Outer Limits”!

Hidden Pivot Graduate
Help Page

Click here
for a help page needed as a Hidden Pivot Graduate.

Keep Your
Skills Current

Click here
for a special deal for graduates of the Hidden Pivot Course who want to stay on the cutting edge


Start a Subscription
Lost my password

Seminar Information page.

Tuesday, April 17, 2018

The consistent accuracy of Rick Ackerman’s forecasts is well known in the trading world, where his Hidden Pivot Method has achieved cult status. Rick’s proprietary trading/forecasting system is easy to learn, probably because he majored in English, not rocket science. Just one simple but powerful trick -- managing the risk of an ongoing trade with stop-losses based on ‘impulse legs’ – can be grasped in three minutes and put to profitable use immediately. Quite a few of his students will tell you that using ‘impulsive stops’ has paid for the course many times over.

Another secret Rick will share with you, “camouflage trading,” takes more time to master, but once you get the hang of it trading will never be the same. The technique entails identifying ultra-low-risk trade set-ups on, say, the one-minute bar chart, and then initiating trades in places where competition tends to be thin.

Most important of all, Rick will teach you how to develop market instincts (aka “horse sense”) by observing the markets each day from the fixed vantage point that only a rigorously disciplined trading system can provide.

The three-hour Hidden Pivot Course is offered live each month. If it’s more convenient, you can take it in recorded form at your leisure, as many times as you like. The course fee includes “live” trading sessions (as opposed to hypothetical ‘chalk-talk’) every Wednesday morning, access to hundreds of recorded hours of tutorial sessions, and access to an online library that will help you achieve black-belt mastery of Hidden Pivot trading techniques.

The next webinar will be held on Tuesday, April 17. Click below to register or get more information.

Knowledge Base Link
Show Buttons
Hide Buttons