October 10th, 2006 Price: Subscribe »
Published Daily
« Return to Archives
ARCHIVED COMMENTARY

Bombing Fails

To Daunt Bulls

For edition of July 08, 2005


Jihad came to the London Underground yesterday, killing 37 people and injuring another 700 but causing only a hiccup on Wall Street. The Dow Industrials ended the day with a 31-point gain after selling off hard in overnight trading when news of the bombing first hit. Perhaps the markets were reassured by Tony Blair’s morning TV appearance shortly after a series of explosions brought London’s subway system to a halt. Whatever the case, financial markets both here and abroad appeared to steady as the day progressed, with sellers fleeing U.S. markets after around 6 a.m. Leave it to Da Boyz at Midnight Auto to figure out how much lower stocks must be manipulated before the last seller has been taken out.

 

 

 

 

With stock averages climbing, I put out a bulletin intraday asserting that it was a rally made to sell. But I must admit, the bullish finishing stoke in the final hour took me by surprise. I’m still convinced it’s a trap, though, mainly because the overnight lows decisively penetrated some hidden-pivot supports I’d flagged for the mini-Dow and mini-S&P. But bulls should take courage from the Nasdaq’s failure to confirm. I’d projected a minor-cycle low at 1462.50 for the mini-contract, suggesting bottom-fishing there with a tiny stop-loss. A it happened, the futures turned sharply from 1465.00 shortly before dawn, denying us an opportunity to board at the bottom. However, as the Naz rose we did manage to buy a few more July 36 QQQ puts for 0.05, an overvaluation of about 25% for July near-the-moneys. With six trading days left, however, and the markets merely feigning calm, we won’t quibble about the extra penny.  





Add keen insights and professional discipline to your investment arsenal
SUBSCRIBE TO RICK'S PICKS TODAY


All Contents © 2006, Rick Ackerman. All Rights Reserved.
For support, tech or subscription related questions: subscriptions@rickackerman.com