July 6th, 2007 Price: Subscribe »
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ARCHIVED COMMENTARY

Stocks Climb
Patriotically

For edition of July 03, 2007


Remember the joke about Russian workers and their Communist bosses? “We pretend we’re working and they pretend they’re paying us.”? Now it’s the American worker’s turn to play make-believe. With July 4th falling on a Wednesday, this week was over last Friday as far as U.S. productivity is concerned. On Wall Street, the bulls won’t even have to pretend they’re working. Indeed, “seasonality” is so blithely powerful at the moment that rallies will tend to happen almost by themselves, as though willed by some cosmic force as oblivious to reality as the dolts and shills who champion stocks each day on CNBC.  

 

 

Take yesterday, for instance. In the 390 minutes from bell to bell, the S&Ps did nearly all of their correcting in about 20 of those minutes; the other 370 were spent with stocks moving either sideways or higher -- much to the torment of those who had bet Friday’s remorseful price action would spill into July. Not a chance. Or at least, statistically speaking, not a very good chance.

 

From a Hidden Pivot standpoint, there were no surprises in Monday’s wilding spree. Around mid-morning, we posted a note in the chat room reminding you that the E-Mini S&Ps were about to touch a 1523.25 correction target.  As you can see in the chart above, they did so with two-decimal-place precision. What this implies is that tomorrow, when stocks resume their patriotic waft aloft, we can assume the E-Mini-S&Ps will be bound very precisely for the Hidden Pivot rally target that is 1523.25’s soul-mate. In the Touts section of Tuesday’s newsletter, I have identified this target  and made it a Pick of the Day.  It is for those who are stuck in the office while the boss has gone off to screw the pooch. I dimly remember that feeling myself.

 

This year, with any luck, I’ll be on my third Margarita, grooving on the rushing torrent of Boulder Creek, when my trade auto-fills at some server farm in a converted warehouse in Igloo, South Dakota.   

 





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