February 12th, 2012
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Stock market

Funny how the “accident” that sent the Dow plummeting a thousand points a couple of weeks ago has morphed into the real thing. The blue chip average fell 376 points  yesterday, and we’re predicting it will fall a further 470 points, to exactly 9592, before buyers get decent traction.  Easy come, easy go, as they say. The initial selloff was originally attributed to a clerical error.  If this turns out to be true, Wall Street may yet produce a scapegoat for the bear market disaster that is yet to unfold. Something like this happened when epidemiologists traced AIDS back to patient zero, a French Canadian flight attendant named Gaetan Dugas. He died young, evidently before a torch mob could find him, but you can bet the Wall Street clerk is already living under an alias, assuming he ever existed.  The charts offer an indictment that does not distinguish between a clerical » Read the full article

[Lately, Mother Earth has been angrier than we can ever recall. A friend of ours with a keen interest in the predictions of seers alerted us a few years ago to the prospect of a dramatic increase in seismic activity around now, so we were naturally eager to have him update the forecast. He has obliged with the grim predictions detailed below. Be warned that his outlook is not for the squeamish and that it suggests 2012 could be a year in which natural disasters impact hundreds of millions of lives around the planet. Incidentally, if you’d like to sample the eclectic range of Rick’s Picks commentary, we offer a free seven-day trial, including daily stock and futures recommendations.]

Rick has asked me to outline the impact of potential future geological events on the U.S. economy. I am not a geologist or an economist, (although I do have an eclectic university education background) – my own personal studies for the last several decades have included amongst other things various prophecies about future events from multiple sources around the world. I write this anonymously, and am writing it at Rick’s request. I am just putting it out there for your consideration – what you choose to do with this » Read the full article

Why Traders Get Trapped in a Panic

by Rick Ackerman on May 14, 2010 12:01 am GMT · 14 comments

[We wrote here recently that last week’s panic attack on Wall Street is unlikely to be the last.  The markets have since rallied strongly, but that won’t change the outlook, says a wise friend of ours who has been following the markets for thirty years. In the essay below, he explains why shouting “Fire!” on Wall Street is not quite the same as shouting “Fire!” in a crowded theater. RA]

“Many years ago, while reading John Kenneth Galbraith in “The Speculative Episode,” it dawned on me that the world wasn’t necessarily becoming a safer place, particularly on Broad and Wall. If you think about military history, we’ve gone from flintlocks during the Revolutionary War with a range of 40 feet to the Spencer Repeating Carbine at Pickett’s Charge in the Civil War (every Confederate soldier died), to Hiroshima. On Wall Street, we went from the ticker tape running three hours late on 16 million shares in 1929 to program trading in 1987 when we didn’t have the » Read the full article

Even if the U.S. economy has hit bottom – a prospect that we view as extremely unlikely — there is almost no chance the recovery will restore the nation to economic health. No one understands this better than the Baby Boomers, vast numbers of whom have seen their retirement plans go up in smoke because of the wealth-destroying effects of the Great Recession. Tens of millions of Baby Boomers are parents as well, and they are just starting to come to grips with the possibility that their children will experience a declining standard of living in the decades ahead.  As recently as three years ago, before the banking system and housing market collapsed, few would have believed America could fall so far, so fast. Now, with public, » Read the full article