Brian Catalucci

MSFT – Microsoft (Last:450.00)

– Posted in: Current Touts

test post - ignore  The chart makes clear not only that MSFT will achieve the 467.56 target shown, but also that it will form a tradeable top there. The target represents a slight adjustment made possible by the precise pullback from the midpoint Hidden Pivot (p=432.79), and by the profitable buy signaled on the pullback to the green line. This means the pattern is working, and that the 'D' target at 467.56 will have tradeable consequence in both directions. A pullback to the secondary pivot (p2=432.79) could be bought with a 421.20 stop-loss, although a 'camo' trigger is suggested to shrink the implied risk of more than $11 per share.

GDXJ – Junior Gold Miner ETF (Last:125.84)

– Posted in: Current Touts

Although mid-April's high narrowly missed the 'd' target at 139.46, a pullback to the green line (112.02) should still be regarded as an opportunity to bottom-fish 'mechanically'.  The odds thereafter would favor a one-level move to p=121.17, although not necessarily a finishing stroke that finally achieves d. As implied above, a pullback to the green line (x=112.03) should be used to get long, much as I have suggested in July Silver. A 'camo' trigger is obligatory, since the entry risk with a stop below 'c' would exceed $900 per round lot. _______ UPDATE (May 8): GDXJ took a powerful leap this week. Unfortunately, it came off a low at 112.80 that missed our bid by a couple of inches. _______ UPDATE (May 8): A shallow dip to start the week came even closer to triggering the 'mechanical' bid I'd suggested at 12.02 (see above), but we still missed getting aboard by 78 cents.  That didn't change the still-good odds that the 139.46 target eventually will be reached. 

GCM26 – June Gold (Last:4644.50)

– Posted in: Current Touts

I've arbitrarily chosen to emphasize the bullish side of this chart, using a reversal pattern that projects to 5144.00. It assumes that June Gold is on a 'mechanical' buy signal that triggered last week with a dip below the red line (p=4363.30).  (It missed being stopped out by 4467 by $55.)  The somewhat bearish possibility starts with A=5474, the March 6 high. The corresponding midpoint Hidden Pivot support at 4244.8 would be a back-up-the-truck number for bargain-hunting bulls.

A ‘Formula’ for Preparedness

– Posted in: Free The Morning Line

You’ve heard from ‘Formula382’ before. A longtime Rick’ Picks subscriber, he manages wealth in the Ozarks, using puts and calls aggressively, with a dollop of good timing, to keep clients happy. He has also shown uncanny skill at rotating out of sectors just before they peak. In a recent chat room discussion, Formula wondered whether the recent sharp break in the price of Walmart shares might be a harbinger of trouble – and not just minor trouble, either. He is concerned that when the bull market ends, possibly as soon as spring, it will usher in an economic depression worse than the 1930s. I not only share his pessimism, but also believe that a bust of such magnitude is unavoidable. Here’s the discussion thread from the Trading Room, lightly edited: Formula382: We’ve all been wondering which stock would lead the market higher now that MSFT has fallen out of bed. Is price action in Walmart perhaps the canary in the coal mine? Is the stock not the largest indicator of overall consumer health? WMT’s dive following the recent earnings report was pretty severe — and fascinating. The company’s CFO expects suppliers to “take price” — i.e., suck up costs associated with inflation and/or tariffs. It turns out WMT doesn’t even factor in the effects of potential tariffs on revenue and earnings. Sounds bonkers to me. The company’s shares have been trading at a 40 multiple, and Costco’s at a nose-bleed 60! These names historically have traded with multiples in and around the mid- to high-teens, much like the S&P. In short, WMT is commanding the multiple of many tech names with just 4-6% same-store sales growth. And not in a hundred Sundays do I believe that the upper crust of the U.S. is now shopping at Walmart. I live in

Wednesday Tutorials

– Posted in: Notifications

Actionable Trade-Alert from Rick in the Trading Room (Please check all related discussion in the room before you do any trades.) Rick is postponing this Wednesday's tutorial sessions until next Wednesday, August 2. He will be attending a funeral for a childhood friend who died Saturday of covid. He was in ICU for a month before pneumonia/intubation finally got him. He was 74 and had been in poor physical health before covid. He got all of the jabs and boosters, but contracted covid on one of his frequent trips to Vegas to play poker. If you have signed up for the Advanced Tactics Tutorial this Wednesday, your registration is automatically moved to the Aug 2 Tutorial. Your registration link remains the same. Sincerely Brian (Catman) Rick's Picks

– Posted in: Wednesday Tutorial Signup

Wednesday Tutorials Have Been Placed on Hold For the Time Being Do NOT Register for the Next Live Wednesday Tutorial Rick's Hidden Pivot Tutorial is normally held second and fourth Wednesday of the month at 12:15 PM EST Click the link below to register to attend the next live Wednesday HP Tutorial When you register for the next live Tutorial, Zoom will send you a link that you will use to enter the webinar. Please safeguard the link as the link does not come from Rick's Picks. You should receive the link in about 2 to 15 minutes. If you don't get a link, let us know via subscriptions@rickackerman.com In these Wednesday Tutorials, Rick gives continuing Hidden Pivot education using real-time charts. Rick highly recommends that all HP subscribers and graduates attend these sessions. Rick uses these sessions to introduce new HP concepts and strategies. This is part of the Hidden Pivot training so don't miss out!      

Paring Risk with Limit Bids and Offers

– Posted in: Tutorials

  Setting up trades that can be initiated with limit bids or offers is the main focus of this lesson. Such trades are a built-in feature of all ‘mechanical’ entries, and we can use them to trade single-share lots of a $3000 stock if we so desire. There will inevitably be losers now and then, but if the initial idea was a good one, there is no reason why we shouldn’t attempt a promising trade a second time. There are some examples in this lesson to illustrate the point.

Weekly Wednesday Tutorial Session 11/24 Learning How to Hunt

– Posted in: Current Touts

This session, in the words of a student who attended, was about learning to hunt. We hopped from one symbol to the next,  searching not for great opportunities, but for a few of the myriad small ones that occur throughout the day. Those of you with relatively small accounts may find our odd-lotting forays on Amazon’s lesser charts particularly interesting. This is where ‘mechanical’ set-ups are at their most impressive, getting us in and out of a $3600 stock with risk as low as $8.