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THE MORNING LINE
One Last Turn of the Screw, then REAL Pain
The bullish gap on the chart holds ominous implications for the global economy, since it removes almost all doubt that interest rates on U.S. Treasury Bonds are headed significantly higher. The rally looks nearly certain to reach 4.81%, the target of the pattern shown. The red line through which the gap occurred last Thursday is a ‘Hidden Pivot midpoint resistance,’ and it is where we look to get a firm handle on trend strength. When it is penetrated as easily and decisively as it was last week, this almost invariably results in a continuation of the trend to the target, in this case a 48.14 level that corresponds to a 4.81% rate. A tradeable corollary is that a swoon to the green line would be merely corrective, and that bond bears, far from being scared out of their positions, could double down on their bets with confidence. The equivalent rate for the Ten-Year Note would be 4.68%.
Historical Downturn
You should jot those numbers down, since they will allow you to tune out the din of pundits and economists arguing about how high rates are likely to go. With the economies of China and Europe already sinking into recession, and the U.S. about to do so when the inevitable bear market in stocks gets rolling, another turn of the interest-rate screw threatens a downturn that will be one for the history books. It will feature above all a strengthening dollar that will not only catch economist and policymakers by surprise, but also crush everyone who owes dollars. A ruinous debt deflation is coming, and it will make us nostalgic for the pesky consumer inflation that has ruled our economic lives since the wildly reckless credit-stimulus of the Covid years.
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The Morning Trading Bell Rings

As a Rick’s Picks subscriber, you will be getting this information the moment it’s posted on the membership site, usually shortly after midnight Eastern Standard Time… more than enough time to capitalize on Rick’s suggestions.
Then, throughout the day as Rick updates his forecasts with additional guidance based on market conditions, you’ll be instantly informed via email alerts… allowing you to take full advantage of breaking trends and market fluctuations.
These picks include a rotating basket of stocks, futures, indexes, and other hot issues, with a daily focus on precious metals. Rick’s Picks subscribers have their favorites, so Rick regularly covers Comex Gold & Silver, the NASDAQ, the Euro, and the E-Mini S&P in addition to the hot issues he believes will offer significant profit-taking opportunities for his subscribers.
Each specific pick is hand-selected by Rick, and includes actionable trading advice, specific price targets, and annotated Hidden Pivot charts with supporting data.
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- Laser-accurate trading recommendations
- Real-time notifications whenever Rick updates trade advisories
- A round-the-clock chat room that draws veteran traders from around the world who share timely, actionable ideas
- Invitations to live, online events
- ‘Take-Requests’ sessions. Join Rick live for real-time technical analysis that can help you mitigate risk and improve your profitability
- Timely links to the very best financial analysts and advisors
- Specific coverage of stocks, options, mini-indexes, gold, and silver
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Rick’s Picks Subscription
If you are looking for trading recommendations and forecasts that are precise, detailed and easy to follow, look no further.-
‘Uncannily accurate’ daily trading forecasts
-
Real-time alerts
-
Timely commentary on the predictions of other top gurus
-
Timely links to the world’s top financial analysts and advisors
-
Detailed coverage of stocks, cryptos, bullion,
index futures and ETFs -
A 24/7 chat room where veteran traders from around the world share opportunities and actionable ideas in real time
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