Wednesday, March 4, 2009

Mar. 4, 2009: Taking it One Leg at a Time

– Posted in: Tutorials

We spent some time making usable sense of the E-Mini S&P’s vacillations in a strongly bullish trend. Is there a way to avoid false triggers? Indeed there is, provided you have the patience and diligence to find the warning signs on the lesser charts. On request, we also scrutinized charts of Kraft and UNG, finding relatively riskless ways to buy the latter even though it had been falling hard. We also considered the possibility that, over the next 3-4 years, global liquidity will dry up, making it increasingly difficult or even impossible to trade.

Imagine a World Without Newspapers

– Posted in: Current Touts

Print news is dying, and we shouldn’t kid ourselves that the Internet will somehow replace it. In the last week alone, the 150-year-old Rocky Mountain News folded and the San Francisco Chronicle was talking about a possible bankruptcy. Nearly every large paper in the country could be gone within three to five years. The trend is unstoppable, and it threatens to drastically limit the quality and variety of news that we receive and have come to depend on each day. Many Americans evidently think they’ll be able to get their news from the Web and that the death of newspapers is no big deal. In fact, it is a very big deal, since nearly all of the news published online is gathered and written the old-fashioned way – i.e., by a vast, global network of reporters employed by brick-and-mortar newspapers. That network has been dwindling rapidly, however, and it is unlikely the casualties will ever be replaced. In order to save on newsprint costs, newspapers have been shrinking to survive. That leaves less space for news, reducing the need for reporters. As a result, it is now almost impossible for journalism-school graduates or even veteran reporters to find work. We have many friends in journalism, having worked as a reporter and editor from 1971-78. One of them searched extensively for a managing editor’s job, finally landing a spot with a small paper in the Midwest. This man had talent and experience to burn, including a stint running a bureau for the Associated Press. But even with his excellent professional connections, it took him six years to get hired. Another friend of ours, a top state-house reporter and Pulitzer winner, recently took a buy-out from the troubled Newark Star-Ledger to work for the state treasurer. And a third, also a Pulitzer