March 11th, 2010
Published Daily
COMMENTARY for Wednesday

Gold Shrugs Off Fools’ Body Blows

by Rick Ackerman on April 22, 2009 1:21 am GMT · 2 comments

With the stock market giddy as ever yesterday, gold held up surprisingly well. The June Comex contract was off just slightly even though Dow Industrials tacked on 128 points. Ordinarily, with the broad averages in a moderate short-squeeze, we would have expected bullion futures to give up more of the gains they’d achieved on Friday. In a bigger picture gold looks even more impressive, since it has fallen by only six percent while the Dow has » Read the full article


TODAY'S ACTION for Wednesday

Deja Vu in Crude

by Rick Ackerman on April 22, 2009 4:22 am GMT

I’ve flagged a trade in Crude as a Pick of the Day because of the felicitous price action at the Hidden Pivot midpoint. This is a price pattern I dwell on in the Hidden Pivot seminar — a quick ABC followed by a grinding CD leg that in this case has yet to develop.  The chart triggered a moment of deja vu tied to a gold chart in the course manual, but we probably won’t know until morning whether history repeats.


PICK OF THE DAY for Wednesday

June Crude (last: 48.38)

by Rick Ackerman on April 22, 2009 4:08 am GMT

I'd projected a downside target at 44.36, but June Crude appears to be making a turn from a so-far low at 46.72. The rally projects to ____, and that target has already been affirmed by the precise stopping power of its sibling midpoint, 49.09. ...

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Rick's Picks for Wednesday
$ = Actionable Advice + = Open Position
Current  Actionable  Open
All Picks By Issue:

GCM09 – Comex June Gold (Last:884.70)

by Rick Ackerman on April 22, 2009 3:18 am GMT

Continue to use 911.90 as a bullish trigger, since the would create an impulse leg that would be unstoppable over the near term. Failing that, the futures will remain an even-odds bet to fall to at least 845.20 before they make their next important low. If there is weakness today, the best place to try bottom-fishing would be at _____, a midpoint pivot that can be tied to a stop-loss as tight as four ticks (0.40). ...

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Comex May Silver (last: 12.000)

by Rick Ackerman on April 22, 2009 3:27 am GMT

A Hidden Pivot at _____ is equivalent to the ______ downside target in June Gold, with the same odds. The trigger for an in-your-face bullish turn would come at _____, but there are no places to bottom-fish Tuesday night that look as promising as the Hidden Pivot support flagged in Gold. ...

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DXY – NYBOT Dollar Index (Last:86.53)

by Rick Ackerman on April 22, 2009 3:39 am GMT

I mentioned this in the chat room today, but let me make it official by recording it as a tout: The Dollar Index looks like it could bore bulls and bears alike to tears for the foreseeable future. The weekly chart is unmistakably bullish, and that is why I think the stalemate will be resolved to the upside, hard as that is to believe. But the daily chart shows dueling impulse legs -- bull feints followed by bear feints -- that suggest the conflict ...

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ESM09 – E-Mini S&P (Last:838.50)

by Rick Ackerman on April 22, 2009 7:21 am GMT

The futures were falling hard around 3:20 a.m., down a little more than ten points and trading near their lows. However, the selling was steady and left no obvious reference points, even on the 5-minute chart, to plot ABC coordinates and a target. My hunch is that the selling will continue to at least ____, a vague midpoint support whose 'D' sibling lies at _____....

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This Just In... for Wednesday

Spain’s Falling Prices Fuel Deflation Fears in Europe

by Michael Johnston on April 22, 2009 3:51 am GMT

We keep asking our inflationist colleagues when and where those big price increases they’ve been predicting for the last ten years will first emerge, but the answer, evidently, is not in Spain — or even in euroland. Here’s the New York Times link to the story, ‘Spain’s Falling Prices Fuel Deflation Fears in Europe’ .