March 12th, 2010
Published Daily
COMMENTARY for Wednesday

Dollar Hovering at Cliff’s Edge

by Rick Ackerman on May 6, 2009 2:52 am GMT · 6 comments

Is the dollar about to collapse?  We’ll know soon enough, since the U.S. Dollar Index fell yesterday to within a hair of an important correction target that we flagged for subscribers a couple of weeks ago. The actual target was 83.45, a Hidden Pivot support that lay just 0.05 points beneath yesterday’s actual low. We’d expected a bounce from our target, and it came in the form of a sharp rally of 0.81 points off the intraday low at 83.50. However, the surge would need to continue to at least 85.29 by Wednesday’s close to confirm a bullish » Read the full article


TODAY'S ACTION for Wednesday

A Heads-Up for Night Owls

by Rick Ackerman on May 6, 2009 3:58 am GMT

Index futures were getting hit Tuesday night, but not quite hard enough for us to infer that anything serious was going on. The short-term picture would darken, however, if the selling were to persist so that the E-Mini S&Ps, for one, generated a bearish signal on the hourly chart. Check my tout for the specific price, which as of midnight lay just four points away.


Rick's Picks for Wednesday
$ = Actionable Advice + = Open Position
Current  Actionable  Open
All Picks By Issue:

GCM09 – Comex June Gold (Last:899.50)

by Rick Ackerman on May 6, 2009 3:08 am GMT

I try not to sugar-coat the outlook for Gold each day, but we should all have grown weary by now of looking for glimmers of hope in each and every bullish impulse leg that occurs on the 15-minute chart. Yes, I am still bullish on the long-term picture, and I do think Gold will make a run for $1000 when ...

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ESM09 – E-Mini S&P (Last:894.00)

by Rick Ackerman on May 6, 2009 3:24 am GMT

UPDATE (9:58 a.m.): The futures went no lower overnight than 891.00, revealing the selloff to be just a routine shakedown by DaBoyz in thin trading. The obligatory short squeeze they engineered on the opening was impulsive, so look for them to come back to the table for seconds. Minimum potential will be to _____....

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DIA – Diamonds (Last:84.21)

by Rick Ackerman on May 6, 2009 3:36 am GMT

We hold four Sep 84 (DAVIF) -May 84 calendar spreads for 3.45 and a September 76 put for 1.49. The May calls that we are short are showing suprising strength, so that we are showing only a slight gain on the spreads and a more than offsetting loss on the put. There is nearly $600 of theoretical profit potential between now and next Friday ...

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GOOG – Google (Last:405.91)

by Rick Ackerman on May 6, 2009 3:47 am GMT

Google is stealing up on a midpoint resistance at ____ whose breach could signal more upside over the near term to as high as _____. That Hidden Pivot can be shorted with a stop-loss as tight as 22 cents, but don't attempt it if the stock initially gets within 20 cents of the target and then drops back more than 30 cents. Officially, we'll buy a September ...

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INTRADAY TRADING NOTES for Wednesday

Silver Wheaton (last: 8.79)

by Rick Ackerman on May 6, 2009 1:42 pm GMT

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This Just In... for Wednesday

Putting the Screws to the Re-Fi Man

by admin on May 6, 2009 2:22 pm GMT

Slamming the barn door shut after all the horses have escaped, the Federal Government has put the screws to the cozy arrangement that until a week ago obtained between lenders and appraisers.  The following comes from my Realtor, Scott Young:

“The latest financial news to affect lenders, realtors, appraisers and ultimately consumers is the implementation of the Home Valuation Code of Conduct. Known as the HVCC, this rule was implemented May 1st 2009 and requires that all lenders and brokers use an appraiser from an Appraisal Management Company.

“This ruling is of the utmost concern for it changes the entire appraisal process. Lenders and brokers no longer have a choice in who they get to use as an appraiser, and there can be no contact between appraiser and broker before a physical appraisal is given. Appraisal Management Companies will now be taking a portion of the cost of the appraisal, which means appraisers are now getting paid a portion of what they were paid before, for the same work, resulting in high quality appraisers simply leaving the industry. The AMC’s choose the appraiser, and the appraiser could be from a neighboring city. That’s tough for sensitive markets like Boulder where different neighborhood pockets get very different values, and knowing your neighborhood is very important in producing the best appraisal.

“The HVCC was originally created to help stop banks from pressuring appraisers into inflating home values, but the reality is this rule is hurting all parties in the mortgage and housing industry. Ultimately, it’s the homeowner that suffers the most. It’s the homeowner that pays for the appraisal and it’s their home that’s under scrutiny. I think everyone would agree that homeowners would like their home to be valued by the most qualified appraisers, appraisers who are paid a fair wage and have the knowledge and experience to back up their values

“We have included an article below that gives a more detailed look into the HVCC ruling as well as links to organizations that are trying to put a moratorium on this ruling for 12 months while a better solution can be worked out. Please call your representatives in Congress today, as the HVCC comes to a full vote on Thursday, May 7th. We would appreciate any forwarding of this message to other realtors, mortgage brokers and consumers, as many in the industry aren’t aware of this ruling, and it will have a truly negative effect on consumers, as well as mortgage brokers, realtors and appraisers.”