September 22nd, 2014
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Tepid Media Make Gold an Enticing Buy

by Rick Ackerman on September 22, 2009 2:13 am GMT · 8 comments

  

[Rick has been under the weather with a possible case of food poisoning. Filling in for him today is Chuck Cohen, a financial consultant whose work will be familiar to many of you. The following appeared at LeMetropole.com over the weekend. Chuck thinks that as long as the news media continue to stumble around in the dark in their coverage of the gold world, we should remain confident about accumulating more bullion and precious metal shares for the long haul. RA]

It took a mix of $1000 gold, the media’s reaction to it, and a very fallow day to compose this piece. As serious as the news is these days, it is still difficult not to see the absurdity in what is unfolding. Now that gold has finally pierced $1000, I had expected to find repentance and mea culpas by a news media that has persistently resisted and even mocked the gold bugs for nearly a decade. But if the news over the weekend is an indication, gold might » Read the full article


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ESZ09 – E-Mini S&P (Last:1060.75)

by Rick Ackerman on September 22, 2009 2:25 am GMT

Putting aside the two targets in the stratosphere that I flagged here yesterday, there’s a minor corrective one at 1052.25 that you could use for bottom-fishing with a stop-loss as tight as two ticks. Please note that it would take a print today at 1047.50 to turn the hourly chat bearish. ______ UPDATE(1061.25):  The stop-loss would need to have been at least four ticks, since the actual low occurred at 1051.50. The subsequent bounce points to 1068.25, subject to midpoint resistance at 1063.00, but neither number looks like it will be worth much for trading purposes. _______ FURTHER UPDATE (10:16 a.m.):  The futures have topped so far this morning at  1069.00, suggesting the 1068.25 pivot flagged above was not so useless as I had imagined.

USZ09 – T-Bond Futures (Last:119^04)

by Rick Ackerman on September 22, 2009 3:23 am GMT

The futures have the potential to hit 122^08 on the next thrust – a target that has been corroborated by the stall within two ticks of its sibling midpoint 120^11.  The best way to board would be to use a camouflage ‘B’ that is recorded somewhere between 120^14 and 102^16.  The opportunity will be potentially available as long as the ‘C’ low at 118^13 is not violated. Since it could come and go quickly, you’ll need to be ready, so I’d suggest setting a chart alert at 120^15.

GCZ09 – Comex December Gold (Last:1015.00)

by Rick Ackerman on September 22, 2009 3:25 am GMT

The futures failed to reach a targeted pullback low at 993.00 yesterday, suggesting that  the bounce off the actual low at 996.30 is likely to reach its ‘D’ target, 1012.10.  The futures appeared to be corroborating this scenario Monday night by pushing above the uptrend’s midpoint pivot. _______ UPDATE (10:20 a.m.):  The futures blew past 1012.10 on the first hourly bar where they encountered the resistance, implying more upside over the near term to at least the next Hidden Pivot target, 1029.10.  Its sibling midpoint at 1012.70 is a logical place for a consolidation to bottom, so buyers should take note if a pullback comes down that far. 

$+RGLD – Royal Gold (Last:66.20)

by Rick Ackerman on September 22, 2014 12:01 am GMT

The stock’s low on Friday occurred just 0.03 from the 65.91 target I’d projected during Thursday’s impromptu technical-analysis session. Because this looked like a great trading opportunity to me, I made it explicitly clear during the session that I was very confident RGLD would achieve the target. However, I hadn’t imagined the stock would fall so sharply — more than 4% — that it would accomplish this in a single day. I also said I was very confident that a tradable bounce would occur from the target.  It did, and the bounce so far has been 54 cents — sufficient to warrant taking a partial profit on any longs bottom-fished at the low. Although the bounce was bullishly impulsive on the very lesser charts, RGLD has come down so hard that I wouldn’t count on the support to hold for long. In any event, if you did the trade, perhaps even shorting to the target as I’d suggested, please let me know in the chat room so that I can provide tracking guidance for the position that remains.

$DIA – Dow Industrials ETF (Last:172.45)

by Rick Ackerman on September 19, 2014 2:16 am GMT

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$DJIA – Dow Industrial Average (Last:17266)

by Rick Ackerman on September 19, 2014 1:52 am GMT

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$YHOO – Yahoo! (Last:42.71)

by Rick Ackerman on September 17, 2014 5:28 am GMT

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$SIZ14 – December Silver (Last:18.655)

by Rick Ackerman on September 16, 2014 1:25 am GMT

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$SLW – Silver Wheaton (Last:22.49)

by Rick Ackerman on September 15, 2014 6:06 am GMT

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$TLT – Lehman Bond ETF (Last:113.11)

by Rick Ackerman on September 11, 2014 1:29 am GMT

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$SNIPF – Snipp Interactive (Last:0.2562)

by Rick Ackerman on September 5, 2014 3:05 am GMT

I first touted Snipp Interactive back in January, when it was trading around 0.15. Although the stock subsequently fell to a dime, it has since rallied sharply, settling at 0.2562 yesterday. This is one of my favorite stocks, and I came away from a conference call with its CEO, Atul Sabharwal, eager to sing their praises. During that call, I hit Atul with my best idea, a sweepstakes-type promotion, but he was already three steps ahead of me, able to cite, for one, New York State’s rules and costs for exactly the type of marketing scheme I’d suggested.

Full disclosure: I hold 100,000 shares plus warrants to purchase another 50,000 shares.  But I hope that won’t discourage you from performing your own due diligence, since you are likely to be as impressed as I was when you find out what the company has been up to. For me, at least, Snipp (OTC: SNIPF) perfectly satisfies Peter Lynch’s rule that investors favor companies whose strengths and methods they can understand. Snipp does interactive marketing that allows clients to track results in real time. The results have been sufficiently impressive that the company has been attracting blue chip clients with little difficulty. Read more about SNIPP by clicking here.

From a technical standpoint, although the stock’s chart history is thin, it’s possible to project a near-term rally target of 0.2730. A tenet of Hidden Pivot analysis is that an easy move through such targeted resistance implies there is unspent buying power percolating beneath the surface. This is not a “hot tip;” indeed, Snipp’s story does not lend itself to the kind of hubris that will result in a $10 billion IPO. But it is an aggressive and imaginative pioneer in a rapidly developing niche, and its CEO has the kind of imagination, intelligence and energy that inspires confidence.

$+TSLA – Tesla Motors (Last:279.20)

by Rick Ackerman on September 3, 2014 5:30 am GMT

Tesla’s strong rally has turned the Oct 3/Sep 5 calendar spread into a solid winner. The spread is currently trading on a bid/asked of 4.50/5.07.  This means subscribers who bought the spread for as little as $1.00 last week could have quintupled their stake. The most paid for it would have been about 1.54. In any case, I’ll suggest offering half of the eight spreads to close today for 4.70. We’ll plan on rolling what’s left on Friday by covering (buying) back the September 5 300 calls we’re short and shorting the Sep 12 300 calls at the same time. ______ UPDATE (10:40 p.m. EDT): The stock’s push to an intraday high at 291.42 made the spread an easy sale for $5.00+, so I’ll consider the order filled.  Now, roll the four spreads that remain into the October 3 /September 12 calendar as detailed above. _______ UPDATE (Sep 7, 10:31 p.m.): The midway price on the spread intraday was 2.30. Imputing the premium to the four October 3/September 12 calendar spreads we now hold would zero out the initial cost of 1.54 and add 0.76 to the real-time value of the spread.  We’ll plan on rolling the spread again on Friday by selling the September 19/September 12 call spread (and thereby covering the short Sep 12 300s), but for now do nothing further. _______ UPDATE (Sep 15, 12:54 a.m.): I’ll use a 0.37 price, midway between the intraday high and low, as the spread price unless I hear from someone in the chat room who did better or worse. Imputing this new premium income to our Nov 22 / Sep 20 spread gives us a CREDIT cost basis of 1.13, for a guaranteed minimum profit on the position of $452. That would be in addition to whatever the Nov 22 calls fetch when we exit them.

+GDXJ – Junior Gold Miner ETF (Last:37.51)

by Rick Ackerman on September 2, 2014 12:03 am GMT

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SIDE BETS for Tuesday

DXY – Dollar index (Last: 76.54)

by Rick Ackerman on September 22, 2009 3:51 am GMT

The Dollar Index is giving off mixed signals, consolidating just below a midpoint pivot after creating a strongly bullish impulse leg yesterday on the hourly chart. If the retracement goes lower than the ‘d’ target at  76.33, the whole bullish enterprise would become suspect, notwithstanding the dog-and-pony show slated in Pittsburgh this week.

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This Just In... for Tuesday

A mining stock of interest

by Rick Ackerman on September 22, 2009 10:36 pm GMT

In the chat room, I’ve posted a note concerning an over-the-counter mining stock of interest. You can find the note at 16.22 hours.


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