Two Exploration Stocks to Consider

[We often feature the work of our friend and colleague Chuck Cohen, a NYC-based investment consultant who specializes in mining companies. Below, he explains why it is time for those who have been straddling the fence to buy junior gold shares.  He concludes with two specific recommendations that trade over-the-counter for less than $1.]

Rick has asked me to write about gold with a focus on the junior mining companies, so here we go, along with a couple of specific recommendations. I tried to point out the pros and cons of buying the juniors last month, but let me now make a quick refresher. I also suggest that you go back to Rick’s August archives to review my articles on gold and the junior sector.

Advantages of juniors…

— They have been beaten down in price due to the credit squeeze last year.
— They are on very few radars screens — certainly not on the radar of mainstream America, which is still scouring drawers and attics for loose gold jewelry to sell.
— Due to the supply/demand situation, many juniors will be bought by larger companies who need to buy ounces of reserves. Eventually, this will turn into a frenzy.
— In every mania, the smaller stocks eventually perform much better than the larger companies.
— Most importantly, the potential leverage (ounces to market cap), especially as gold really takes off, will be staggering. This is probably the single most important factor in

 considering a specific company.
— Because of their leverage you don’t have to risk as much as you would with the larger companies.

…and some disadvantages

— They are thinly traded, and some have wide spreads between the bid and the ask prices, so you have to be judicious once you have decided to buy one.
— Some hints when buying them.
    a. You should not chase after one has run up, especially on heavy volume.
    b. Beware of one that has been hyped by more than one analyst.
    c. Take advantage of a down opening or a down day and be wary if the stock has gapped up.
— Be patient once you have bought it. In the upcoming gold move, stocks will go much higher than you might think and sometimes stocks that have languished will just take off.
— Spread your risk over several or even more. If one disappoints, it won’t affect you that much. But if one shoots up, you could get a home run and make up for the laggards.
— I would avoid geopolitical risk and stay in North America and friendly African nations.

I urge you to be a student of gold and these unique companies. If you go to their web sites, you can get an excellent education of what the company is doing and what it is expecting. Use “GoldSheetLinks.com” for locating their sites.

Now, two specific recommendations…

Metanor Resources [OTC: MEAOF]

• It is a producer, albeit small (20,000 ounces this year.)
• It is in Quebec, probably the best place to be right now.
• They have been getting excellent results and the exploration future is very high.
• The chart, as James Bond said, is shaping up very nicely.
• They also have some very interesting warrants which expire May 2012 at $1.00. (I own these.) They are available in U.S. dollars unlike many others.

Here’s a weekly chart of Metanor:

Metanor

Pelangio Exploration [OTC: PGXPF]

Pelangio was responsible for the giant find at Detour Lake. Last year it merged its shares into Detour Lake (DGC) but kept $19 million which they are putting in their very prospective property in Ghana, a very Western and mining friendly nation. This property has the potential to be a monster and the kind I like to take a shot at. Go to their web site and look at their latest and fascinating presentation on that property to see what I mean. Also, read their latest news release dated September 3. The odds are very good that they will hit something huge, and the market cap is low. Very good odds — and that is the best philosophy to have when choosing juniors.

I own this one also. Here’s a weekly chart:

Pelangio

That will do for starters. In the future, I will try to feature one or two juniors each time or just review some of the ones I have already covered. Also, not to be a nag or a self-promoter, but I want to remind you that I do this professionally, and I can help you strategize, place your orders and try to keep you abreast of what is happening. Please consider this. I am user friendly. Chuck   ikiecohen@msn.com.

(If you’d like to have Rick’s Picks commentary delivered free each day to your e-mail box, click here.)

  • Mario November 11, 2009, 9:38 pm

    Hi Chuck,

    I was wondering what your thoughts were about Metanor now, after the Bachelor Lake flooding and tragedy. Has this accident fundamentally damaged the company? Or has the market overreacted? Do you think it still has great potential? Also, would you recommend buying it OTC or on the Vancouver?

    PS I have a lot of respect for your opinion. Thanking you in advance,

    Mario

  • Mike Novak September 22, 2009, 3:47 pm

    just a note here on MTO.V (Metanor Resources) This company is a huge success story in the jr. markets. They started a few years back with a concept to build a gold mine with mill and to produce. Well today they have a 1200 tpd mill (upgradeable capacity) have poured ~ 25,ooo gold all while tweeking a 95% recovery rate and all from an open pit which they continue to discovery new zones and more ore from. I understand they have stockpiled several hundred thousand tonnes of ore from the open pit to feed the mill with and to blend with the high grade ore from their flagship Bachelor Lake Mine. With plans to produce ~ 70,000 oz in 2010-11, Metanor remains little understood by the market in my opinion as they are trading at ~ 50% of the value of their $140M infrastructure alone !!! and with 1M oz resource from three of their properties, the proven production capabilities and huge blue sky potential……. Northern Securities $1.oo near term price forecast seems ~ 50% of where MTO.V should be trading today !

  • ben September 22, 2009, 8:28 am

    Dusty…A share is a share…it doesn’t matter what currency you buy or sell it in. You will get the same net effect whether you but it in USD or CAD. So buy it on whatever exchange you get it cheapest in USD terms.

  • FranSix September 22, 2009, 12:20 am

    Just though I would fill people in on the latest vehicle for gold investments, which is the Gold Participating Bond ETF. A Gold Participating Bond is nothing new, though it probably hasn’t been used in the gold sector for developing mines for many decades:

    http://www.mineweb.com/mineweb/view/mineweb/en/page67?oid=88872&sn=Detail

  • cp September 21, 2009, 3:05 pm

    Good point about the geopolitical risk, as this could turn out to eventually be one of the most important aspects of what company to invest in.

    Metanor has had a recent run up in price, something you caution about. But you still like it?

    cp

    • Charles Cohen September 23, 2009, 5:06 pm

      In the scheme of things MTO has not done much and as a lot of the juniors will require, it needs to punch out with fairly heavy volume. There are a lot of stale and disappointed holders in the juniors who will sell into these. I still believe that the huge move in the juniors await the collapse of stocks, though.

  • Dusty September 21, 2009, 2:59 am

    Instead of buying them on the OTC, you can purchase them on the Vancouver exchange directly. Symbols: Pelangio Exploration PX.VA and Metanor Resources MTO.VA or the Metanor Resources Warrants MTO.WT.VA. Since they are on the Canadian exchange, if the U.S. dollar drops in price, the Canadian dollar will rise so you make money on the currency exchange. If you think the U.S. $ will strengthen, then stick to the OTC.

    Dusty

    (I’m not recommending these stocks. Please do your own due diligence. )

    • Charles Cohen September 23, 2009, 5:07 pm

      Dusty,

      Thanks for your suggestions. Chuck