Plenty of charts to go with today's touts, including an update for December Coffee that shows how one could have gotten long yesterday based on my instructions. There's also an E-Mini S&P chart that illustrates why the 1040.25 downside target flagged in the chat room looks like a lead-pipe cinch if weakness greets the day […] Read More
The futures at least crept past the lower of two rally targets we've been using, 1236.70, and now presumably will take on the second at 1244.20. As noted here earlier, scale-out profit-taking is advised for swing traders still long, as well as the use of a "dynamic" trailing stop as described on this site's educational page […] Read More
I drum-rolled a 1040.25 downside target in the chat room yesterday, and it still looks like a no-brainer. A plunge to that number should be viewed as likely if and when the midpoint support with which it is associated, 1069.25, gives way. The so-far three-tick penetration of the support was not sufficient for us to […] Read More
This week's consolidation has occurred entirely below an 83.03 peak recorded on July 23, so the potency of the larger, bullish pattern begun on August 6 is suspect. It projects to 84.30, but because the pattern itself is sausage-y, we should assume for starters that more consolidation is needed before much of anything happens for […] Read More
It's explosive days like yesterday that serve to remind us of Bonds' strong propensity to go against weakness in the broad averages. To the extent I am increasing the drum beat for the "sky-is-falling" argument, I am implicitly saying that a powerful upthrust awaits in this vehicle. More immediately, and considering the ease with which […] Read More
The Dow looks to be in the throes of a 420-point plunge, even if sellers were unable to deliver the haymaker yesterday that would have put bulls down for the count. At the final bell, the drop amounted to only 144 points, although it would have been closer to 200 points at the day’s lows. […] Read More
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(July 18, 2016)
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Into Thin Air
Why Volatility Gets Crushed
Party On, America!
Lest Boredom Make Us Complacent…
With a Fed-less Week Ahead, Markets Will Be on Their Own
Doug Behnfield’s ‘Thoughts on the News’