As The Great Recession tightens its grip on the urban slums of the U.S. and Europe, a darker side of social networking has begun to emerge. Last week, the civilized world was appalled to read about rioting British “youths” tweeting their friends and comrades-in-arms to join the fun. “We need more MAN than Feds so Everyone run wild, all of London and others are invited! Pure terror and havoc & Free stuff…just smash shop windows and cart out da stuff.” Ahh, “da stuff!” Such swag as has seldom been seen in London’s dismal rookeries: bowler hats from Locke. Brigg umbrellas. Church shoes. London’s bobbies should have no trouble picking out the perpetrators on Monday. They’ll be wearing bespoke suits that fit as poorly as O.J.’s infamous glove. Yobs will be firing up Cohibas with (unmonogrammed) Dunhill lighters, broad-tossers’ wrists will be adorned with Patek Phillipes, and louts will be ordering up Dom Perignon by the flagon in Piccadilly taverns. » Read the full article
The rally target at 1227.75 that was in play in Friday is still in play. As I’d noted earlier, choppy action has brought the futures to within two ticks of the 1187.25 midpoint associated with that target. The fact that that midpoint was precisely achieved by the day’s two failed rallies suggests that the 1227.75 target will be useful to us. However, because the target is by now perhaps too well “advertised,” I’d suggest using camouflage on the 15m chart or less if you plan on using this high-odds Hidden Pivot to get short. In the meantime, because there is 50 points of implied upside if and when the futures break decisively above the midpoint, using camo tactics to get long is strongly advised. Initiating bull trades near these levels may be easiest for Sunday night-owls, since the September contract created the kind of tedious chop on Friday that tends to leave our trading competitors waiting for “something” to happen. Our specialty, of course, is using impulse legs to alert us to the very first sign that something is about to happen. Want to learn to use the Camouflage Trading Method yourself? Click here for information about the October 5-6 Hidden Pivot Webinar.
Late Sunday night, it’s anyone’s guess whether DaBoyz are fixing to run stops above the 1867.50 peak shown. That’s assuming there’s enough short-covering fear to pull it off, which appears not to be the case at the moment. Far more ambitious would be a push above the April 4 peak at 1892.50 to new all-time highs. Assuming that’s about to happen, it’s highly doubtful it will be by way of an impulse leg that exceeds both of the peaks in a single, unpaused leap. More likely is a push today above peak #1 that would probably spell death-by-Chinese-water-torture for shorts in the days ahead. In any event, your trading bias should be bullish above 1867.50, with entry based on whatever uptrending ABC ‘camouflage’ patterns you can find on charts of 15-minute degree or less. Keep in mind that the first such opportunity signaled, as opposed to one further along in the uptrend, would be the least risky to trade.
We don’t pay much attention to this vehicle other than at key turning points, but the short-term pattern shown looks like a lay-up for traders who see futures contracts as no more than bouncing dots on a chart, waiting to be exploited. There are actually two trade possibilities here: 1) a ‘camouflage’ short as USM slips below the 132^13 midpoint; 2) and a very tightly stopped long from within a tick or two of the 131^17 target. Good luck! Please report any fills in the chat room so that I can establish a tracking position for your further guidance. ______ UPDATE (3:17 p.m. ET): The short was tricky to initiate, but once aboard, your reward came quickly with a drop to a so-far low at 131^26. As noted above, the short should be covered and reversed near 131^17. ______ UPDATE (April 6, 3:57 p.m.): The low of Friday’s violent price swings was 131^21 — not quite close enough to have gotten you long easily. Although this could prove to be an important low for the short- to intermediate term, under the circumstances I’ll assume no subscribers were filled. _______ UPDATE (April 11, 1:03 a.m.): Next important stop on the way higher: 135^17. _______ UPDATE (April 20, 11:10 p.m. ET): Last week’s fleeting stab to 135^10 came within less than a quarter-point of my target — close enough for us to consider it fulfilled. It took the futures more than a month to get there, so we should expect this correction-or-worse to last for at least a week or so before bulls attempt to push T-Bonds to new recovery highs.