Although we shouldn’t get our hopes too high, technical evidence presented in today’s tout for Goldman Sachs suggests that the stock could be on its way to oblivion. A further fall of $31 from current levels seems plausible in any case, so let’s stay on top of the stock for now, the better to leverage the move.
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The 140^14 correction target drum-rolled here yesterday has been exceeded by eight ticks, or a quarter of a point. Ordinarily, because the pattern associated with that target is so clear, we might infer from even so small an overshoot s that significantly lower prices impend. In this case, however, we’ll reserve judgment for now, since there was an important low at 140^02 (November 13) helping to pull the futures down. Which is to say, the “magnetic” attraction of that low overpowered the Hidden Pivot support. Now, the December contract would need to hit 142^04 today to get out of immediate jeopardy, since that’s what it would take to generate a bullish impulse leg on the hourly chart.
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Tesla got short-squeezed to within 28 cents of the 86.72 target I’d proffered early Monday morning, but a second-wind rally to 88.00 suggests it’s got eyes for 104.44, the ‘D’ target associated with the first number. It can serve as a minimum upside objective for now, implying that all trades between here and there be positioned from the long side. We’ll plan on buying weekly puts if and when the target is reached, provided it happens before Wednesday of the given week. Please note as well that a lesser Hidden Pivot at 94.19 (see inset) has the potential to stop the rally cold and can therefore be used for spec camouflage shorts.
All signs point higher at the moment, but even Google will have to top somewhere. My best-bet for a short-able apex is 929.78, the Hidden Pivot target of a well-defined ABCD on the monthly chart (see inset). You can try shorting with camouflage at that number, or at the D target (in purple) of the lesser pattern, but until then all trades should incorporate a bullish bias.
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Gold, Schmold! It’s Mattresses That Will Appreciate
by Rick Ackerman on December 2, 2011 5:01 am GMT · 53 comments
[Ever consider stuffing money in your mattress to guard against a banking collapse? Here’s a guest editorial from our friend Erich Simon that suggests you might be better off taking your nest egg and buying…a bunch of mattresses. We’re not sure whether Erich’s point is being made tongue-in-cheek, but we are convinced, after an exchange of several e-mails, that he is a true connoisseur of bedding and accessories. RA]
I just shelled out $2,400 for a traditional, coil-spring twin XL mattress set. Apparently I am not alone with mattress horror stories. Is the new mattress worth $2,400? I don’t know, but it’s got a 10-year warranty. Only problem with that is a $2,400 replacement mattress in ten years will be a smidgen of what I just received. Adjusted for Net Present Value and the ongoing bleed of “quality metric,” probably a lot less, so for all intents and purposes my purchase will have depreciated down to sub-zero. Of course, if I were buying the hedonic of a new computer ten years out I would no doubt improve on existing “capacity.”
A mattress is a better barometer than a computer or a traditional store of value, including gold. Mattresses consume scarce resources like cotton and petroleum. Mattresses are something everybody needs, and they wear out and have to be replaced. Mattresses are not purely “frivolous tangibles” and speak to the Means of Production (MOP) in our factoried society. They are price-pointed to exhaustion on the demand side. Labor costs, like everything else, while in the short term can fall from layoffs, will only continue to rise as increases in the minimum wage are passed through the pipeline. » Read the full article