Wetlands Disaster Makes BP’s Fate Seem Insignificant

British Petroleum’s shares have shed 40 percent of their value in the last six weeks, falling from $61 to a low yesterday of $36, but if sellers keep up the pace for just a few more days, the company could be trading at salvage prices by next week. Despairing news from the Gulf of Mexico over the holiday weekend set up the avalanche of selling that buried BP stock when it began to trade Tuesday morning.  Last Friday, the world had been transfixed by live images from the seabed that showed oil continuing to gush out-of-control from the broken well despite BP’s efforts to plug it with a “top kill.” We now know that that mud sealant that was injected into the drill hole didn’t build up the necessary pressure to resist the gusher because the wellbore itself was ruptured.  For all the good it did, the 1.2 million gallons of mud forced into the wellbore by a 30,000-horsepower piston might as well have been discharged directly into the sea.

Birds covered in oil from BP's Gulf oil spill

British Petroleum is facing criminal and civil charges as a result of the disaster, and it’s possible the company will not even be around in a year or two other than to pay claims.  Although the world will undoubtedly get along just fine if that happens, the loss of Louisiana’s wetlands and the catastrophic damage to the Gulf ecosystem will not be so easy to bear. An estimated 20 million gallons of crude have poured into the Gulf so far, but that number could go much higher if the leakage continues until August, when it is expected that a second and third well will be operating to take the pressure off the existing well.

Alaska, 21 Years Later

In the meantime, environmental reports from Louisiana have been heartbreaking. The slick has coated delicate mangroves that jerry-rigged barriers have manifestly failed to protect, and aquatic life has literally been climbing out of the ooze for a gasp of air.  Those who live and work along the Gulf are being prepared for the possibility that the effects of the damage will persist for decades, even if cleanup efforts achieve a superficial veneer of success. This evidently has been the case for the once-pristine Prince William Sound, Alaska, where a ruptured tanker, the Exxon Valdez, spilled near 11 million gallons of crude in 1989.  Twenty-one years later, push a spade just a few inches into the beach and you will turn up rocks still coated with smelly oil. The Sound may look much as it once did, a local resident told the evening news, but appearances can be deceiving, and evidence of the disaster is still all around. We shouldn’t get our hopes up that the experience in the Gulf will be any better.

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  • Todd June 6, 2010, 4:09 am

    Easy to fix the spill. Lower a steel cone, point downward until it fills and seals the pipe. Line it with rubber if you like. Or you can place a catheter inside to expand the cone for an even tighter seal. Sooooo easy. They dont want to stop the leak so the prez and pass his Cap and Trade bill. 🙁

  • DG June 3, 2010, 3:15 am

    Though Bush/Cheney likely had a hand in relaxing regulations,I would hope all could see the bigger, bipartisan problem of the dysfunctional government-corporation-lobbyist-politician cause. Pick an industry. Finance has been rotting for YEARS. Big pharma has spent the last 20 years corrupting every aspect of their business from the FCC, AMA, to the FDA. Education has been hi-jacked by both the banks (here, just borrow it) and unions that we get a lot less for tuition that is unconscionable. It sucks in nearly every industry government touches. Not because govt regulation is bad, but because our government is bad. We are so far gone from capitalism its a joke. In a truly capitalist state BP would never survive this mess because of the property damage they have caused. On the flipside, had this risk been priced into the equation “deep water oil” insurance would be right up there with doctor’s liability insurance and gasoline would be much more expensive. Why stop at Cheney and W? It is a long list.
    As an aside, I am surprised that Goldman didn’t write rig default swaps. Guys are getting too fat. Had they, regarding the rig blast, we shore woulda known whodunit…

  • Rudy June 2, 2010, 9:46 pm

    All hope is lost. It is time that Americans realize the extent of the disaster, do their duty, and begin to commit hiri-kiri en mass. If three hundred million or so take the knife the planet will be safe.

  • cosmo June 2, 2010, 9:26 pm

    I was a fisherman in Cook Inlet AK in 1989 and worked 43 days on the Exxon Valdez ¨cleanup¨. I also had a claim against Exxon for punitive damages. I can tell you that Exxon was not interested in cleaning up the oil, they were only interested in the PR damage control and because PW Sound was 1000s of miles from anyones awareness, damage control was fairly easy. They paid Alaskan residents(Spillionares) big money to keep quiet. They sent the cleanup crews to wherever the media was going to to be reporting. I have terrible memories of trying to do my best to clean it up, but was hobbled by Exxon to really succeed. I suspect that BP wishes that this were in AK because far fewer people would be actually SEEING oil on their beach. To cap it off, Exxon appealed the punitive damages of $5 billion to the the US supreme Court which ruled last year(20 years after the spill, during which 26% of the claimants had died) that $500 million was sufficient. So I received $2500, which is a big difference from $25000, especially when Exxon made $40 billion net last year. I have forgiven Joe Hazlewood for the spill long ago, but I will never forgive Exxon for the way they handed the spill. I have not bought any gas from Exxon ever since and never will. I suspect BP will drag it out and eventually be forgiven in much the same way.

    For people with outrage at BP, I can only ask if they have stopped driving their car yet. If they didnt drive their car there would be no BP drilling in the Gulf. The only way to REALLY change peoples behavior is to make it prohibitivly expensive. I am cycling around in Europe where fuel is at least $8 per gallon and a lot of people ride mostly electric trains and bikes, or WALK. If you dont like the situation as it is, then stop feeding the beast.

    • Rich June 2, 2010, 11:35 pm

      Basically are you suggesting corporations and banks own and misdirect the media to pull the wool over our eyes and extract the maximum labour and wealth they can?…

  • Benjamin June 2, 2010, 7:20 pm

    Chris T and Mario Cavolo said: “”The relief wells could have been drilled ahead of time””.

    You’d think. I would’ve said the same on any other day before today, but the more I’ve thought about it, the more it seems BP is/was meant to be the “Bear Stearns” of the oil industry. Could’ve. Should’ve. Would’ve. It’s the story of every boom-bust in our bubbling times.

    These might be the final chapters we’re on, though. We’ve known that the cheap credit days were over. We know central banks over the past so many months (maybe the past year, maybe the past two) have increasingly stepped in to fill what the market cannot afford to buy. We know the consequences of zeroing interest (relevence to other interest rates be dammned).

    i.e. We know this environment is deflationary at a time when central banks are just giving increasingly large sums of money to governments. One reality nesseciates the other. Whatever else would they do with all of it, than buy up assets (like oil companies with holes in them) on the cheap?

    Maybe not even by August, BP will have a fire-sale (with golden parachuttes for the company-ruining execs from the proceeds of course). I mean, with 40% shaved off in six weeks and oil prices not exactly exploding, how can they last until August, let alone further out (which will probably be needed in order to finish this relief well, given the circumstances)?

    I think the fire-sale is a given, though the buyer may not be government, but rather “Exxon” (aka, a “too big to fail” in the oil biz that will belooking for bargains). We’ll see if the rest of the industry gets holely over the coming years, though. I think we will see that very outcome, after which governments will snatch em up.

    @guttersnipe and DLWELD: Yeah… what you guys said!

  • CC June 2, 2010, 5:28 pm

    The following comment is intended for those that Think (not ‘feel’) things through.

    A cursory glance at a majority of the comments posted here with regard to British Petroleum, should have the ‘investor’ somewhat unsettled – if not downright nervous. And when I say ‘investor’, I don’t mean ‘institutional’ or ‘big-time’ player/trader. I’m talking about anyone out there with a spec of ‘wealth’.

    Keep in mind, that to many in this country – and the Political Class that foments and fosters this hate of ‘wealth’, $250,000/yr. of income is considered a ‘wealthy’ by their standards…

    One must keep in mind that when economic hard times engulf a nation, Scapegoating becomes the convenient pastime for those looking to harpoon others that they ‘feel’ have wronged them, or society as a whole.

    I’m going to keep this short, but in essence, if you think that You – with your ‘investments’ and personal ‘wealth’ are somehow safe or separate from BP, when the great wrecking ball of envy and Contempt of anyone who has more than they ‘deserve’ – or what is deemed ‘reasonable’ in terms of ‘wealth’ gets rolling, You might want to think your ‘positions’ through – just a bit further…

    • BDTR June 2, 2010, 10:22 pm

      Really, …I think that you’re selling the sick and homeless-bankrupt-vacant eyed masses a bit short.
      When my last silver farthing has found it’s way to cleaning a corporate ravaged ocean, I’ll make discreet inquiries of income range prior to pillage. Personally, I wouldn’t bother with anyone with less than say a $200m net worth.

      Curiously, my financially besieged friends all earn in excess of the threshold you mentioned. My less affluent friends are actually doing quite well. So I wonder, will my nominally better off friends likely be recruited by the rampaging hordes prior to those presently with less?

      I tell you, values are so confusing these days!

  • Rich June 2, 2010, 4:41 pm

    For perspective, in 2008, BP revenues were almost a billion dollars a day. The BP low of 36.20 yesterday with a 9% dividend yield may have presented a major lifetime buying opportunity for this supermajor Anglo Arco Persian oil empire, the second largest in the world.
    At Oxford Templeton with the Rhodies, it was amusing to hear the Brits cluck cluck about their United Kingdom Commonwealth of moral superiority.
    No longer. Revelations of confiscating clothing evidence from sick fisherman without respirators, requiring immunity waivers from them before hiring them for cleanup, continuing to use toxic dispersants after ordered by EPA not to, and trading covertly with Iran all did damage to the cultivated image of BP Green Energy. However, three considerations mitigate the consequence of BP broken up for salvage value:
    1) BP lawyers busy for decades reducing fines and liabilities, as XOM lawyers reduced the $5 Billion fine to $500 Million.
    2) Inapt comparison between the Alaskan oil spill and the Gulf, as Saddam released far more oil into the Persian Gulf War, which did not become an ecological disaster because the warmer climate provided organisms that digested it – the steam cleaning in Alaska may have killed them.
    3) The bank owners of the oil companies still pull the political purse strings…

  • mario cavolo June 2, 2010, 4:23 pm

    …come on guys…they COULD have built a safer rig and well project but they didn’t HAVE to so they didn’t. Its the same with today’s nuclear technology and safety standards, much higher and more precise and REQUIRED. Now that the shit has hit the fan because the possibility was allowed, for the future they will have to. Something to be thankful for?

    Meanwhile, I have to admit that driving a gas guzzler is seeming to me a more and more selfish, indulgent choice considering the world we live in. At the same time, I feel ridiculous saying that, I have to admit. Next thing I know I’ll be telling people not to eat chicken, blah, blah, blah….I’m not the activist type but I do feel good about doing my part by driving a comfortable economy car with a 5-speed that gets 35 miles per gallon.

    Cheers, Mario

    • Robert June 2, 2010, 6:44 pm

      “I do feel good about doing my part by driving a comfortable economy car with a 5-speed that gets 35 miles per gallon.

      – Funny Mario, but I feel equally good about driving a truck that gets 16.5mpg, and owning a boat that burns 5 gallons per hour.

      My rationale?- simple. Oil is still the underpinning of the greatest cadre of political clout on Earth. I’ve often commented that the only way to break down this corrupt global power structure will be to remove the primary source of that power.

      Slowing the global burn rate only delays the ultimate day of reckoning when humanity has no choice but to embrace the technologies (which already exist) that will power us into a cleaner, safer, less politically retarded future.

      The world will not clambor for a cleaner alternative primary energy source until the wells all run dry. That may not be a popular viewpoint, but few would argue the accuracy of the observation. It’s sad, but true.

      Better we should take peak oil as a sign that it is time to crank up the burn rate even further…

      Contrarian to the end.

    • BDTR June 2, 2010, 7:13 pm

      Right you are, Mario.

      The original concept engineering required multiple relief wells as the surest blow-out fail-safe for deep water drilling. Many responsible producing countries adopted safety standards lobbied away by producers in the US through official malfeasance. This is just a part of the Bush/Cheney legacy of defanging regulatory enforcement.

      The strategy simple and time tested. Decry public agency as inept and too costly while subverting regulatory mandates through de-funding and stacking executive authority with corporate insiders. Happened without exception across the governmental board.

      Follies costing incalculably in order to gain a relative pittance for an elite few will be plaguing a public for successive generations. As in the bankster driven financial debacle, monopolistic runaway healthcare costs, monopolistic food production and an insidiously parasitic, dominating military-corporate matrix will insure extremes of future distortions and disaster for citizen peons. Even if Obama was God himself, (which I’m assured by my conservative friends is not the case), the die would be most irretrievably cast.

      The black spew from the Gulf isn’t oil. It’s the puss from an untreated and fatal systemic infection. Geckorrohea : “The point is, ladies and gentleman, that greed — for lack of a better word — is good. Greed is right. Greed works.”

      Well, enough reflective hand wringing, …let’s get back to capitalizing on calamity.

    • Rich June 2, 2010, 11:28 pm

      Similar with WEB testifying on Capital Hill derivatives are still weapons of mass financial destruction, ticking time bombs, that ought to be regulated.
      When a Senator pointed out he and his firm engaged
      in unregulated derivatives without collateral, WEB called that insurance, and commented his only beef was with changing the contract rules requiring collateral after the fact…

    • wmd_wtf June 3, 2010, 3:13 am

      well ironically mario – not eating animals is environmentally speaking the single most helpful thing a person can do to reduce their footprint.

  • Chris T. June 2, 2010, 4:00 pm

    Benjamin is mostly right about there not being much that BP could do, could have done.

    But, those relief-wells could have already been drilled, ready to be tapped to take the pressure off.
    Of course that would have been expensive, and who wants to spend money on contingency planning and implementation, but that was an option.
    Did the law fail, by not mandating it, did the bribes paid down in LA prevent this, we will see.

    And lets not kidd anyone, once this black stuff is trading at $200+ barrel, and most elephant fields have run dry, all these hard to reach, hard to control deep water fields WILL be tapped, and more horrible damage will ensue. This may not be for another 20-30+ years (given the backlash today), but it will happen.

    Remember the much-trumped deep, deep water find off Brazil of 2(?) years ago? That is so far down, drilling in the gulf is child’s play in comparison. The tech. for large scale pumping down there is only now being developed, and when an accident occurs down there, no one will have a clue. Then look out.

    This kind of experimenting with nature approach exists elsewhere too.

    In southern western Germany, a geological hot-spot, there is potential for geothermal energy.
    So, a small “green” town, as the Europeans are wont to have, decided to tap that by drilling a well (the lets-reduce-our-carbon-load crap).
    What happened? The historic town is sinking, buildings are cracking, and no way to stop this. No one is sure why this happened, there are a few theories.
    The warnings that it might not be safe to drill at all were of course scoffed at, because this was “good for the environment”. Sure the impact is limited to the potential destruction of an 800 year old town, but the approach was the same: We can mess with nature, and everything will be fine, …

    • Robert June 2, 2010, 6:31 pm

      “Those relief-wells could have already been drilled, ready to be tapped to take the pressure off.
      Of course that would have been expensive, and who wants to spend money on contingency planning and implementation, but that was an option.
      Did the law fail, by not mandating it?”

      -If the living assumption has become that doing the right thing is only required if mandated by law, then civilization is most certainly doomed. All laws (save the Constitution itself) are always enacted upon reflection of a triggering event- exactly the reason that the population of the US allowed the Patriot Act to be inflicted upon them.

      Greenies, Bleeding Hearts and other lefties will certainly use this diaster as just another poster-child for how Capitalism is antithetical to Societal Bliss- DLWELD has it 100% correct in his analogy above. The parallels between this event and the ongoing global money printing folly are eerily similar, when looked at from the viewpoint of supreme capital misallocation.

  • DLWELD June 2, 2010, 3:57 pm

    Interesting the similarities between the oil disaster and the financial disaster.

    In both, large flows of product (oil) (capital) are going where they are non-useful or even destructive.

    In both, a large number of people are negatively affected, though arguably the financial meltdown has affected more people and will continue to affect more and more as it works its way through the financial ecosystems.

    Both disasters seem to have been precipitated by cultures within the respective corporations of flaunting “annoying” regulations, or worse, of gaming the system with no regard for larger issues

    In both, the public are indignant and angry and have asked for the responsible people to be called to task and have their actions questioned.

    Given these similarities, I assume that the oil execs will follow the example of the financial execs and declare themselves even larger bonusses and pour money into congress so that they can continue business as usual.

  • gary leibowitz June 2, 2010, 3:22 pm

    I find it somewhat amusing that the 911 psyche stayed with us. This allowed a “fake” war to break out, and the dismantling of our constitutional freedoms. This event also allowed peoples fear and bigotry to be displayed as American loyalty.

    Most other disasters have been met with short term shock followed by numbness. The disasters that can be categorized as resulting from greedy business decisions never seem to create a lasting change anymore. The reliance on a 30 second news clip combined with affiliated stations such as FOX parading as a NEWS organization results in a filtered, slanted, and biased view. An entertainment organization believing anything is presentable as long as it is ultra right, ultra business oriented.

    Will this disaster make lasting change? Absolutely not. In 2 years time this will have been forgotten. Lets not forget our new biased towards nuclear “clean” energy.

  • Dave June 2, 2010, 3:15 pm

    BP fail? Kidding, right? They will survive and thrive my friends. They are the “pusher” and the western world is a giant pool of crack (oil) addicts.

    The environmental costs are just one expense that we do not have to pay for directly at the pump. When we stop to fill up, we might as well be writing our check to Osama Bin Laden, c/o BP or Exxon or whomever. Think of the expense to fund the war on drugs (terror). For decades, we have been fighting overtly and covertly against a bunch of lunatics who arm themselves with the oil money we send.

    But few if any of us are willing to make personal changes in our own lives to do something about it. How many choose to minimize their hit at the pipe (pump)? Instead we continue to live in oversized homes, live far away from where we work, buy oversized vehicles when not really needed, and complain about the cost of alterative energy.

    While most voters these days rally around what America can do for them, what is it you can do for America? Become a part of the solution instead of a continuing part of the problem.

  • guttersnipe June 2, 2010, 2:52 pm

    For the foreseeable future we need refined crude oil. We also need some common sense. We have huge, untouched oil reserves right here in the USA. When forced to go a mile underwater before even beginning to drill, just to satisfy some eco-nuts, there is the loss of a certain amount of control over unexpected events.

  • Mercurious June 2, 2010, 2:36 pm

    I live in Galveston, Texas. I hate their guts. Are you ready to take it to a new level? Seize BP and use ALL its assets rather than asking US taxpayers to foot yet another bill for some ‘too big to plan’ entity’s deceit and greed. SEIZE BP. http://www.seizebp.org/

  • mario cavolo June 2, 2010, 2:17 pm

    the bloomberg headline reads “BP’s future at risk…”

    If we indeed find they are guilty of neglect, of greed, for whatever reason, there is no punishment, no loss great enough to redeem their souls or atone for the disaster they have wrought upon this earth.

    Mario

  • Paul Boizot June 2, 2010, 2:00 pm

    But how nice to find a financial newsletter that is not basically anti-ecologist/anti-Green!

  • kim spannagl June 2, 2010, 12:56 pm

    Big Money =Corruption=Shortcuts=This Mess !!!

  • Benjamin June 2, 2010, 3:57 am

    “We shouldn’t get our hopes up that the experience in the Gulf will be any better.”

    Sad but true. There never was anything they could do about the leak, except to not drill there until they had a better grasp (and dedication to safety) as to what they were doing. But there is something they could have done, SHOULD HAVE DONE, just not about the leak, to make the best of this.

    They should have upped their cap. Nothing can be done for all of nature. With millions of barrels down there, and some 600 quadrillion gallons of water in the Gulf that can take it anywhere until the leak is contained, there just never is going to be any thorough assessment of total environmental damages, let alone doing anything about all of it.

    So the only accurate and relevent guide to environmental damages is personal damages. By upping the cap, perhaps the fisherman could have pooled their compensation, and tried their best to create a shrimp/fish sanctuary to use until this gets better (on it’s own, mostly). Same thing with tourism. Select the best stretches of beach or other hot-spots, and do their best to clean it up and prevent more contamination. And let the business/land owners manage it. Leave government and BP out of it, as neither have any serious stake in managing this disaster (but much to gain from scewing it up), whereas property owners have every incentive to take care of what they have left. How much should they have given them? I don’t know. Assess and settle. Make BP sell off parts of itself if nessecary. I don’t know how much, but I’m sure the affected would have invested in recovery much better than BP and government ever would. Once done, just focus on the damn relief well, and stop throwing good money after bad trying to look like they care, all the while running some heavy risk of making it worse.

    On a final note, this whole thing is about as sane as letting me set up and run a nuclear reactor a mile underneath Your Town, USA. Sure, I may not have much experience in running nuclear reactors, and having it a mile underground cuts off access in the event of an emergency, but hey, come on man… You can trust me!

    The trouble is, land owners don’t have the power to have their say anymore. The corporation will of course say they know what they’re doing, and the politicians, lawyers, judges, media, and finally shareholders will trust them on your behalf, and spell out the benefits and risks according to what they say. But how wrong that is. The point of town meetings is not vent to steam when tyranny is at your door, or to spill Tea, or to say how much you hate Obama’s healthcare plan over medicare. The point of the town meeting was to facilitate bottom-up governance, to discuss in an intelligent manner such matters as oil wells in your backyard (say) _well before_ they are set up. Ask questions, raise objections, and set the terms of contract according to how the bottom-up governed want it (if at all).

    God, do we EVER need to take back our country. And solar panels aren’t the answer. Solar panels require mining, petroleum and byproducts… No, that is passive irresponsibility, a way to sweep under the rug the real problems. Fact is, we need oil and are going to for some time, so what we need to do is better manage how it’s done. Which would require of people to become more involved and knowledgeable. If we want to see to it that we don’t destroy the environment and our livelihoods for what we need, we need to assert our rights and responsibilties as land owners.

  • S David June 2, 2010, 3:01 am

    This gets more sickening by the day.