What Rough Beast?

With mincing steps, VXX, which tracks short-term S&P volatility, continued its extraordinary descent last week to historical new lows. For long-time market observers, the feeling has grown palpable that “something” has got to give; and yet, on a given day, the broad averages continue to do nothing in particular. They move almost invariably in one direction, wafting ever higher, seemingly unable to sell off for more than a few hours. This is scary and boring at the same time; for in fact, something does have to give. Housing and autos have already peaked, and the disconnect between the stock market and economic reality is growing more troublesome by the day. The money managers know this, but their instincts for sidestepping danger have completely atrophied over the years.  Anyway, we are all in it up to our eyeballs by now: pension funds, private equity, insurance companies, individual and sovereign investors — a collective of greater fools, unchastened for too many years to recall what it felt like at the last top.

  • Richard Charles July 24, 2017, 3:56 pm

    Poetic justice

  • none July 24, 2017, 7:12 am

    The debt market is confirming the effects of the Trump Low have ended.

    The yield market in anticipation towards a turn around has failed, as the recent low in yield has pierce the valuable yield price level of the ‘Trump Gap’.

    The failure of such an ‘anticipated’ price move has already carry over in major sectors as they have broken upward (inverse currency) into new price territory of the last 2 years, EC upward and downward DX market.

    Other markets will follow the turn and catch up, confirming the break of the Trump Low for lower pricing ahead.

    Traders/Investors are not just asleep, they are in a coma.

  • John Jay July 24, 2017, 12:22 am

    On this day in history!
    The Coinage Act of 1965, Pub.L. 89–81, 79 Stat. 254, enacted July 23, 1965, eliminated silver from the circulating United States dime (ten-cent piece) and quarter dollar coins. It also reduced the silver content of the half dollar from 90 percent to 40 percent; silver in the half dollar was subsequently eliminated by a 1970 law.

    Ah yes, I remember it well!
    Thanks to the Nation Wrecking LBJ, silver coins were out, Chucky Cheese Tokens were in!
    What a guy, what a guy!
    Old LBJ joke:
    “They told me if I voted for Goldwater, I would get a half million US troops in Vietnam.” So I voted for Goldwater and, damned if they weren’t correct! That is exactly what I got!”

    Now that’s comedy!