Rick’s Picks – Rick Ackermen

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$ESU25 – Sep E-Mini S&Ps (Last:6516.50)

There was plenty of lunatic energy at day’s end, implying p2=6556 will be easily achieved (see inset chart). I stop short of rating D=6620.25 a done deal, however, and an even more important Hidden Pivot target at 6749.00 is still no better than a 50% bet to be achieved. It’s

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$MSFT – Microsoft (Last:507.89)

I’ve set a bullish tripwire at 510.50, somewhat above current levels, to tell us whether MSFT is about to embark on a major leg up. If so, the stock market would likely follow, since Microsoft remains a key bellwether. This does not negate a 493.67 correction target where I’d intended

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$TLT – Lehman Bond ETF (Last:87.23)

It was nearly three years ago that TLT tripped a sell signal tied to a Hidden Pivot target at 80.84.  This ETF proxy for T-Bonds was trading just above 102 at the time, and few could have imagined then that such a grim outlook was justified. The thumbnail chart shows

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CLQ25 – August Crude (Last:66.71)

Right on cue, Bloomberg.com splashed an article on its front page over the weekend explaining why the price of crude has been so subdued in the face of potentially severe supply disruptions in the Middle East. Turns out the world is awash in oil, the article explained — not just

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THE MORNING LINE

A Holiday Note

I am on holiday for a short while, far from Florida’s disabling seasonal heat and enjoying what so far has been the coolest, foggiest summer anyone who lives in San Francisco can remember. This is a busman’s holiday, since I am updating the actionable ‘touts’ on this page 24/7 and have been fully engaged in the chat room as always, providing timely ideas whenever unusual opportunities arise and answering all questions related to trading. I am also continuing to put out actionable guidance at GoldenMeadow.eu.

However, in this space, instead of the usual weekly commentary and graphics, I am presenting a changing selection of paintings by Geoffrey Leckie, my college roommate during our third year at the University of Virginia. His canvases are beautiful and extraordinary (above: Stacking Hay, a scene from Connemara, Ireland), and they can speak for themselves. If you want to know more about the artist, click here.

Expect ‘Something Big’

Concerning the stock market, I’ve come to expect unusual craziness every time I take an extended holiday. Although my hunch until recently was that the nuttiness would take the form of a melt-up, last week’s weakness, especially in Bitcoin, has caused me to reconsider. Although Trump’s accomplishments have driven the bull market to new heights, the feel-good energy they created may be spent. For that reason, I have lowered the odds of a thousand-point rally in the S&Ps to 50-50. Correspondingly, I will be more cautious at these heights, since the bear market that’s coming will be at least as destructive to the economy as the 1929 Crash.

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Then, throughout the day as Rick updates his forecasts with additional guidance based on market conditions, you’ll be instantly informed via email alerts… allowing you to take full advantage of breaking trends and market fluctuations.

These picks include a rotating basket of stocks, futures, indexes, and other hot issues, with a daily focus on precious metals. Rick’s Picks subscribers have their favorites, so Rick regularly covers Comex Gold & Silver, the NASDAQ, the Euro, and the E-Mini S&P in addition to the hot issues he believes will offer significant profit-taking opportunities for his subscribers.

Each specific pick is hand-selected by Rick, and includes actionable trading advice, specific price targets, and annotated Hidden Pivot charts with supporting data.

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