Gold’s Assault on the Clueless

We’ve been monitoring gold’s vital signs closely, since any foray above $1000 is cause for nervousness. The yellow stuff has always been free to roam, and even to misbehave, below that threshold; but once above $1000, the bankers regard each rally with a glower of malice.  While it is clear that debt deflation’s overwhelming power has rendered the central banks impotent in their efforts to arrest the collapse of the global economy, the bankers still retain the ability to crush any hint of rebellion by gold bulls who would deign to challenge the monetary order. With their relatively large stocks of physical gold, and the complicity of institutional agents such as JP Morgan to help suppress “paper gold” in futures markets, the bankers and the IMF have enough influence over bullion’s price to temporarily suspend the laws of supply and demand.

panic-small

 

The politicians are on board, of course, although not as conspirators. They are all knee-jerk Keynesians at the moment, either too stupid and/or lacking in imagination to understand why fiscal spending, no matter how much of it, cannot possibly extricate the economy from a deflationary black hole. They have put their trust in eggheads and MBAs to fix things, even if most of us have begun to suspect that throwing yet more trillions of dollars into the maw of deflation will not solve anything. And although our elected leaders might not feel so strongly about gold as Keynes, who was appalled by the popular appeal of “that barbarous relic,” they are nonetheless dumbfounded as to why anyone would prefer gold-backed currency to the Monopoly money that The Government has empowered as legal tender.

 

Concerning our immediate outlook for gold, we have identified 1025.20 as the next significant point of resistance for the Comex April contract. The number is yet another in a series of  Hidden Pivots that have told us unequivocally and at each step along the way whether buyers were ready to forge effortlessly higher. So if 1025.20 gives way easily, as other points of resistance already have, we’re ready to infer that the benighted acolytes of Keynes are about to get fragged by investors who are growing increasingly restless, if not to say panicky, about The Government’s apparent powerlessness to ameliorate economic distress.

  

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Comments on this entry are closed.

  • Dinen Maharaj Feb 23, 2009 @ 3:55

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  • TKO Feb 23, 2009 @ 2:08

    I also spent part of the weekend gaming plausible scenarios of government intervention in the gold market. Paul Volker allowed in a speech the other day that he “thinks repeat thinks that capitalism will survive, in most respects.” That’s reassuring! He went on stating that he never gave much thought to the center of capitalism and its relation to society! For God’s sake, what kind of ideas are they putting into poor old Paul’s head?? I am happy to report that he did not look like he was being held hostage.While he is probably used for mostly figurehead value, and is not privy to inner circle plans, it is possible to make some inferences. These big government, government is good academy guys have American Captialism right in their crosshairs and they are discussing all of the possibilities. They have big plans and it includes the markets. As the price of gold heads north, it will become symbolic of the inability of the policymakers to get a handle on the present malaise. For this reason alone, and they have other motives, they will intervene.

    By this stage of the game, after the dot com bubble, credit bubble, housing bubble, telecom bubble etc etc even the most obtuse legislator on those congressional committees is aware that bubbles exist, and he also has a vague notion that they are bad. All the policy guys have to do is paint gold as a bubble, and they will have no problem with congress. Maybe they will coordinate with other countries to start liquidating reserves at a certain price level. Hey, it would give them cash for another stimulus! Or they might steal a page from the FDR playbook and just stop trading. I can think of other scenarios, however, imho when/if the gold market gains real momentum, these guys will intervene big time.

  • Edward0 Feb 22, 2009 @ 21:39

    Let the fragging begin!