March 15th, 2010
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COMMENTARY for Thursday

Inflationists Fail to Explain ‘How’

by Rick Ackerman on April 2, 2009 12:01 am GMT · 32 comments

Yesterday’s challenge – explain how inflation will get off the launching pad in a deflating economy – went unanswered, although the topic itself provoked quite a response in the Rick’s Picks forum. The question was not rhetorical, since in order to produce inflation there has to be a mechanism for all of that printing press money inflationists keep blathering about to physically make its way into the consumer economy. Anyone who thinks massive fiscal spending alone can create inflation should read Hayek’s The Road to Serfdom, since the equally massive borrowing needed to finance a public works economy » Read the full article


TODAY'S ACTION for Thursday

Extortion at Sunrise?

by Rick Ackerman on April 2, 2009 12:03 am GMT

DaBoyz have shorts on the ropes Wednesday night, and so I have furnished a somewhat ambitious target for the E-Mini S&Ps. It is corroborated by a rally target in Goldman that I would rate as a very high-probability number, and you can play the move with relatively little risk by buying a couple of July-April calendar spreads at the 120 strike. This will be much preferable to buying calls on market orders at the opening, since prices will be rigged to extort.


Rick's Picks for Thursday
$ = Actionable Advice + = Open Position
Current  Actionable  Open
All Picks By Issue:

ESM09 – E-Mini S&P (Last:821.25)

by Rick Ackerman on April 2, 2009 12:02 am GMT

A mini-wilding spree in the final half-hour brought the futures back to within easy distance of the day's highs, setting up a minor rally pattern in the process that points to 815.00, minimum. As of 7:15 p.m. EDT the rally had stalled precisely at the...

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GCM09 – Comex June Gold (Last:903.60)

by Rick Ackerman on April 2, 2009 12:03 am GMT

Yesterday's fleeting spike was constructive, since it poked slightly above the last fleeting spike, 934.70, recorded two days earlier. This refreshed the bull trend despite the selloff that followed, and it also put into play a...

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GS – Goldman Sachs (Last:114.45)

by Rick Ackerman on April 2, 2009 4:57 am GMT

Poised precisely at a midpoint resistance at 110.45, Goldman looks extremely likely to pop to exactly xxx, and soon. However, it is too risky for me to suggest that you simply buy calls at-the-market on the bell, since prices are likely to be rigged and rapacious on the breakaway gap we might expect. We already hold two July 115-April 115 calendar spreads for 6.o0 that are quite profitable,...

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