Traders should brace for a celebration on Wall Street Wednesday if Massachusetts Republican Scott Brown wins Teddy Kennedy’s seat in the U.S. Senate. A Brown victory in Tuesday’s special election would destroy the Democrats’ filibuster-proof majority in the Senate, and with it President Obama’s damn-the-torpedoes effort to steer the country hard-left. Derailing the Democrats’ machine would come as good news to Wall Street, since there is probably no area of investment opportunity that is not being eyed as a source of new tax revenues by Congressional liberals. Investors aside, the entire nation could breathe a sigh of relief if Brown is able to make good on his promise to stop the trillion-dollar healthcare boondoggle from becoming law. He has campaigned heavily on this issue, although the election will offer a broader referendum on the policies of Mr. Obama and a Democrat Congress run amok.
As of Monday evening, nearly all pollsters gave Brown the edge, which averaged around six percentage points. But Democrats were working feverishly at the eleventh hour to turn things around, manning the phone banks and ringing doorbells, and the election was deemed too close to predict. Just a month ago, few would have imagined Brown had even a remote chance of capturing a seat that has been a Kennedy fiefdom for nearly 60 years. Massachusetts is among the very bluest states, and Brown’s ability to stir things up is clear evidence that the voters, including leftists who see him as insufficiently “progressive,” are in outright revolt against Mr. Obama.
It remained to be seen whether a near-miss by Brown would cause enough Congressional Democrats to switch their votes on health care to scuttle the bill. Up till now, Democratic Party leaders have appeared to accept the likelihood that fallout from passage of the hugely unpopular bill – it is supported by only a third of the voters — would cost some Democrats their seats in 2010. But the mere possibility of a Republican victory in Massachusetts must be scary to many Democratic incumbents, since it is such a political aberration. Exit polls will not likely tell us enough on Tuesday to affect the markets, but by mid-evening there should be enough information to drive index futures one way or the other. If Brown looks like the winner, it will be the first glimmer of hope and change that investors have seen since Mr. Obama took office. [Click here for a tangentially related story: “Sen. Ben Nelson Booed Out of a an Omaha Pizza Parlor”.]
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@rmsimc:
Quote: ‘ Without the bailout the Left would be stuck in the mud.’
It seems the entire system will be stuck in the mud. If Obama gets his way now, it will probably be stuck on the port side of the channel which is still relatively unknown. Should the Republicans get their way, then it will be stuck on the starboard side of the channel which ist very well known since 1930. Maybe the ship will touch ground first on one side and be frantically steered around to end up on the opposite side. But I think the final outcome will be more or less the same in all these cases.
Quote: ‘As for healthcare, any businessman can see that the numbers do not add up without a significant degree of rationing.’
The point ist: How many resources go into the system and how many ill people get out of it cured. I think there are lots of private amd public (and private/public) health systems which do much better than the US health system. And better than the health system in my country which is not far behind in the race for waste. Or should we call it not waste but economic progress, if health system money flows straight into the pockets of lobbyists instead of flowing into treatments of maladies?
Quote: ‘I’m surprised you are posting on a capatalistic financial website such as Rick’s.’
I think the debate of ‘Left’ vs. ‘Right’ ist a bit like a debate over the merits of a Bad King (sorry: bank) vs. the merits of a Good King (sorry: bank) shortly before the collapse of monarchy (sorry: bankruptcy). Quite the same is to oppose ‘capitalistic financial’ websites to ‘capitalistic non-financial’ and to ‘non-capitalistic’ ones. ‘Financial’ and ‘capitalistic’ lose all sense in a trillion to quadrillion dollar default. We need urgently a different way to get along – together.
Quote: ‘Unless you plan on growing younger, you had better be careful what you wish for.’
1789 in France they finally wanted the King’s head and got it. This project ran completely out of control as we know today. The Russian events in 1917 turned out even worse. It’s time to try a controlled way of change. Especially with the amount of nuclear weapons in today’s world.
K.H.