April 17th, 2014
Published Daily
Topic of the Week

The stock market hasn’t been much fun to trade in a while, but that could change today as the broad averages approach some potentially important rally targets of ours. Want to know exactly where these targets lie but don’t subscribe?  Click here for a free trial subscription that will give you access to our proprietary numbers. One of them foresaw a 600-point rally in the Dow that is nearly complete. The other is a bullish target for the E-Mini S&Ps that smacked us in the eye yesterday with its clarity.  There are also two bank stocks whose deft handlers appear to be setting up suckers for the kill. These financial biggies are household names, but because they are in the thick of Europe’s bailout hoax, they are destined to go down with the ship. Under the circumstances, the hysterical, short-squeeze rallies that have driven their shares steeply higher may be ready to seven-out. » Read the full article


TODAY'S ACTION for Wednesday

Preparing to Short the E-Mini

by Rick Ackerman on February 8, 2012 3:11 am GMT

I’ve asked veteran camouflageurs who frequent the chat room to guide less-experienced traders if an exceptional opportunity to short the E-Mini S&P should occur when I’m not around.  If our entry trigger gets hit while I’m conducting the weekly tutorial session online between 11 a.m. and noon EST, I’ll make sure the information is disseminated in the chat room at that time.


Rick's Picks for Wednesday
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ESH12 – March E-Mini S&P (Last:1350.25)

by Rick Ackerman on February 8, 2012 3:06 am GMT

March E-Mini S&P (ESH12) price chart with targetsI’ve alluded to a key target in today’s commentary, and although merely talking about it has made it one of those high-profile numbers that are probably jinxed from the start, the Hidden Pivot itself is real enough and should provide sufficient stopping power to allow us to get short without risking too much.

Putting aside the promotional hubris of today’s commentary, which the public can access, subscribers should be aware that if the futures reach the 1353.00 target, they’ll be in new recovery territory, trading above April’s important 1344.50 peak. That implies that they will have created a fresh bullish impulse leg on the daily chart, an eventuality that will shorten the odds of our hitting a four-bagger on a bear trade. Still, our goal will be to get aboard without stress, and to simply go with the trade as far as it will take us.  My hunch is that the 1353.00 pivot will be hit overnight Tuesday or Wednesday morning, so I’m depending on the legion of experienced camouflageurs who frequent the chat room to guide rookies if things pan out as we might wish them to. _____ UPDATE (February 9, 11:22 a.m. EST): The futures spiked to 1352.75 about 50 minutes before the opening bell.  Some subscribers evidently got short, and said so in the chat room. However, strictly speaking, it was not possible to do so via camouflage until about 90 minutes later, so I won’t record the trade officially.  Unofficially, though, and for your further guidance, with the futures currently trading around 1346.00, I’d suggest covering three-quarters of the original position for a profit, tying the remaining 25% of it to a stop-loss at 1349.75.  This is not a trade on which we should be swinging for the fences, since the markets are waiting opportunistically for news on Greece – any news at all will suffice — that will conduce yet another short-squeeze and running of the bears.  Concerning the Fat Lady’s aria, keep in mind that there is still an outstanding target at 13085 in the Dow Industrials. _______ FURTHER UPDATE 11:36 a.m. EST): The 15-minute chart is currently bearish, working on an ABC correction (A=1350.25 at 9:45 a.m. EST) that projects to 1337.50. This implies a possible ‘camo’ buying opportunity on any minor abc rally at the 1342.00 midpoint associated with the target. That last number is also my minimum downside objective for the very near-term. ______ AND FINALLY(1:34 p.m. EST): As I noted a short while ago in the chat room, the fact that the futures were unable to correct down to the 1342.00 midpoint augurs new highs, probably today.

BAC – Bank of America (Last:8.05)

by Rick Ackerman on February 8, 2012 3:27 am GMT

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GS – Goldman Sachs (Last:114.36)

by Rick Ackerman on February 8, 2012 3:36 am GMT

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GCJ12 – April Gold (Last:1753.00)

by Rick Ackerman on February 8, 2012 9:08 am GMT

April Gold (GCJ12) price chart with targetsApril Gold did not adequately correct the hourly chart to set up an instant push above last Friday’s 1765.90 peak, but the 30-minute bars will at least get the futures to the 1760.20 ‘D’ target of the lesser pattern shown (see inset).  If it gives way easily, bulls should have little trouble taking out the higher peak soon thereafter.  (Click here to learn more about the Hidden Pivot Method we used to forecast and trade futures and stocks.)

SIH12 – March Silver (Last:34.230)

by Rick Ackerman on February 8, 2012 9:29 am GMT

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$ESM14 – June E-Mini S&P (Last:1850.50)

by Rick Ackerman on April 17, 2014 7:52 am GMT

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$USM14 – June T-Bond (Last:134^06)

by Rick Ackerman on April 2, 2014 3:21 am GMT

We don’t pay much attention to this vehicle other than at key turning points, but the short-term pattern shown looks like a lay-up for traders who see futures contracts as no more than bouncing dots on a chart, waiting to be exploited. There are actually two trade possibilities here: 1) a ‘camouflage’ short as USM slips below the 132^13 midpoint; 2) and a very tightly stopped long from within a tick or two of the 131^17 target. Good luck!  Please report any fills in the chat room so that I can establish a tracking position for your further guidance. ______ UPDATE (3:17 p.m. ET): The short was tricky to initiate, but once aboard, your reward came quickly with a drop to a so-far low at  131^26. As noted above, the short should be covered and reversed near 131^17. ______ UPDATE (April 6, 3:57 p.m.): The low of Friday’s violent price swings was 131^21 — not quite close enough to have gotten you long easily. Although this could prove to be an important low for the short- to intermediate term, under the circumstances I’ll assume no subscribers were filled. _______ UPDATE (April 11, 1:03 a.m.): Next important stop on the way higher: 135^17.

HGK14 – May Copper (Last:2.9820)

by Rick Ackerman on March 31, 2014 12:20 am GMT

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This Just In... for Wednesday

Something for Your Sweetheart…

by Rick Ackerman on February 8, 2012 12:01 am GMT

Romance your sweetie on Valentine’s Day with the songs of  Sinatra.  One of my oldest friends, Rick Apt, runs the best Old Blue Eyes memorabilia-and-music site on the web. For an earful — and some terrific February 14th specials — click here.


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