Inflation Ahead? Yeah, Sure.


Do T-Bonds know somethingThe inflation drumbeat has grown more insistent lately, stoked by Fed blather about raising rates to prevent the economy from overheating. Yeah, sure. I’m not buying any of it, particularly statistics that purport to show inflation even in Europe.  An epic deflation still awaits and eventually will be triggered by the implosion of a largely uncollateralized, quadrillion dollar derivatives bubble. A further, irresistible catalyst will be the zeroing out of deferred, unpayable liabilities in our pension and healthcare systems. These deflationary black holes cannot be ‘monetized’ like the financial system, since they involve real cash sent to real recipients each month to pay for real services and real goods. More immediately, the bull cycle has peaked for residential and commercial real estate. If these factors add up to the return of inflation, then I am a monkey’s uncle. T-Bonds seem to know all of this, having risen sharply in recent weeks. Don’t be surprised if the trend continues.

Comments on this entry are closed.

Rich February 12, 2017, 9:18 am

Hi All
Big picture v Trading Tactics
We are strong T’s
But not for long until PnF targets flip back up


Welcome back, Richard. I’m confused. If you are waiting for Treasurys to turn up on (presumably) longer-term point-and-figure charts, how is it that you are now “strong” in/on them? RA

John Jay February 9, 2017, 3:29 pm

There are so many financial winds, so many demographic winds, and so many industrial winds all blowing at the same time, that is impossible to predict the outcome precisely, but it will likely be bad.

A few examples:

Commercial aircraft manufacture.
Many moons ago, Boeing was the whole show for the West.
Now, you have the United States, Europe, Russia, China, Japan, Canada and Brazil all gunning for a share of that pie.

The robots are are growing so increasingly capable and sophisticated, it is hard to believe they are real. I have seen youtube clips of robot dogs and humans, etc. that I would swear are just CGI fantasy. But they are very real.

Central Banks.
They have all turned into Deflation Killers, buying up stocks, bonds, and even worthless MBS type paper etc. to avoid a great re-set.

Europe is suffering through the new version of the fall of Constantinople in 1453 AD.
In our hemi-sphere, Venezuela and Puerto Rico are already failed states.
Brazil had to send in the military when Police went on strike. Too many people for the system to take care of.

Not to mention the threat of Nuclear Combat that will end it all.

And with those many cheerful facts, I have barely scratched the surface!

Hidden Pivot Graduate
Help Page

Click here
for a help page needed as a Hidden Pivot Graduate.

Keep Your
Skills Current

Click here
for a special deal for graduates of the Hidden Pivot Course who want to stay on the cutting edge


Start a Subscription
Lost my password

Seminar Information page.

Tuesday, April 17, 2018

The consistent accuracy of Rick Ackerman’s forecasts is well known in the trading world, where his Hidden Pivot Method has achieved cult status. Rick’s proprietary trading/forecasting system is easy to learn, probably because he majored in English, not rocket science. Just one simple but powerful trick -- managing the risk of an ongoing trade with stop-losses based on ‘impulse legs’ – can be grasped in three minutes and put to profitable use immediately. Quite a few of his students will tell you that using ‘impulsive stops’ has paid for the course many times over.

Another secret Rick will share with you, “camouflage trading,” takes more time to master, but once you get the hang of it trading will never be the same. The technique entails identifying ultra-low-risk trade set-ups on, say, the one-minute bar chart, and then initiating trades in places where competition tends to be thin.

Most important of all, Rick will teach you how to develop market instincts (aka “horse sense”) by observing the markets each day from the fixed vantage point that only a rigorously disciplined trading system can provide.

The three-hour Hidden Pivot Course is offered live each month. If it’s more convenient, you can take it in recorded form at your leisure, as many times as you like. The course fee includes “live” trading sessions (as opposed to hypothetical ‘chalk-talk’) every Wednesday morning, access to hundreds of recorded hours of tutorial sessions, and access to an online library that will help you achieve black-belt mastery of Hidden Pivot trading techniques.

The next webinar will be held on Tuesday, April 17. Click below to register or get more information.

Knowledge Base Link
Show Buttons
Hide Buttons