Alan Greenspan

No Escaping Deflation’s Fatal Drag on Economy

– Posted in: Commentary for the Week of March 8 Free

Gotta love those inflationists!  We enjoy getting in their faces now and then because their nutty ideas, particularly that inflation is worth worrying about at the moment, can only confuse and misdirect people who are struggling to sort out the facts for themselves. Imagine waiting…and waiting…and waiting for inflation to “break out,” as the inflationists have been doing all too patiently since 1991.  That’s when the Fed put pedal to the metal to escape the drag of recession. At the time, virtually every monetarist in the land was predicting that a nasty inflationary spiral lay just ahead. All we got in the end was the kind of inflation that no one noticed, let alone complained about: asset inflation. Greenspan sealed his reputation as a bubblehead forever by finally noticing the bubble, although, to his further discredit, he was only explaining at the time that no one with a trained eye who was watching for a bubble could be faulted for having failed to see one.   And now, finally, deflation is overpowering the myth of monetarism itself – the myth that the Fed can fine-tune economic cycles by creating “money” out of thin air.  Turns out it’s not so easy. In reality, the banking system’s feather merchants succeeded only in building, one nearly indiscernible layer at a time, a debt juggernaut that can no longer be controlled, let alone reversed. Deflation has suffocated the monetarists and is about to do in the Keynesians for good measure. It is also continuing to tighten its grip on just about anything that can be bought or sold.  We’ll say more about that in a moment, even after conceding up front that inflation eventually is going to be a huge concern, since an outright hyperinflation will be needed to wipe hundreds of trillions of dollars’