Someone touted this stock in the chat room yesterday and, truth to tell, it doesn't look too bad. The company provides Chinese and Japanese language Internet search services. The nearest Hidden Pivot resistance lies at 126.27, and I'd rate it a 90% shot of being reached within the next 2-3 weeks, if not sooner. What all but clinches the strongly bullish outlook is the way the stock blew through a clear-as-day midpoint resistance earlier in the week. ________ UPDATE (Monday, November 1, 3:11 p.m. EDT): Four days after this tout was published, BIDU has eased to a so-far low of 107.58. If this is just a garden variety correction of a still-strong bull, however, the stock should turn from 107.02. Anyone interested in acquiring the stock for speculative purposes should bid just above that pivot, risking, oh, 15 cents, on the stop. Officially, we'll be bidding 107.04 for 200 shares, stop 106.89). _______ FURTHER UPDATE (4:51 p.m. EDT): We lost $30 testing the water. The stock's low at 106.85 overshot the midpoint target by 17 cents, implying BIDU will now head down to the related 'd' target at 104.88. We'll try again, bidding 104.93 for 200 shares, stop 104.63. Unofficially, however, you could start looking for a camouflage entry opportunity if BIDU gets down to 105.40, since there's always a chance that the correction of a strong bull trend will end without having quite reached the 'd' target of an abcd retracement. _______ FURTHER UPDATE (Tuesday, Nov 2): The low at 106.85 proved to be the launching pad for a so-far $3 rally, so we had no horse in the race. At least one chat-roomer reported sticking with the trade, however, after having used a wider stop-loss than I'd advised.
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C – Citigroup (Last:3.51)
– Posted in: Current Touts Free Rick's PicksWe bought 800 shares yesterday pennies off the intraday low, but because this was a Pick of the Day that may have attracted the interest of relatively inexperienced traders, I am not entirely comfortable about having gotten aboard in the final hour of the session. We'll play the hand we were dealt nonetheless, sticking to a 3.49 stop-loss and a 3.77 offer for half of what we acquired. The stock looked to be basing after we boarded, but there is no predicting whether the fragile low at 3.51 will survive a change of mood come morning. There was news Tuesday night concerning a stock-purchase deal with Abu Dhabi apparently gone bad, but it's hard to guess how this will effect Citi at the bell, since the bullish implications of the deal had been ignored to begin with. _______ UPDATE (2:04 p.m. EST): Citi has spent the morning boring bulls and bears alike half to death. We stuck to our discipline nonetheless, exiting on a stop-loss at 3.49 for a $4o trading loss.
C – Citigroup (Last:4.26)
– Posted in: Current Touts Free Rick's PicksWe hold 12 December 6 calls for 0.15, having gotten sandbagged when we bought into a mini-cascade of selling on the opening bell. Our goal is to short a dozen December 7 calls against them for 0.06 or better, but let's be crazy-greedy for now and offer them for 0.10, good-till-canceled. If you think Goldman Sachs eventually will move higher, there is little reason to worry about this inexpensively bullish position. ______ UPDATE: Having achieved a perverse sort of perfection in the timing of our purchase of some call options, it's now time to write them off. We'll book a $180 trading loss and hold them as a lottery ticket on -- let's see if I can choke this phrase out without getting nauseous -- a possible "Santa rally" into year's end.
C – Citigroup (Last:4.81)
– Posted in: Rick's PicksCiti's very capable handlers are oozing the stock up to a 5.04 Hidden Pivot midpoint whose conquest would clear a path to at least 5.97. The niggardly, risk-averse trader in me wants to try and buy a dozen December 6-December 7 calls spreads for 0.09. We'll attempt to leg it on, but with the precaution of a "contingency" order, as follows: Buy twelve December 6 calls (CLX) for 0.17, provided the stock is trading 4.96 or higher, but bid 0.15 for them otherwise. _______ UPDATE (10:10 a.m.): We bought a dozen December 6 calls for 0.15. Ahead of the opening, I would have suggested lowering the bid on the supposedly bad earnings news, but I wrongly expected the calls to open on their lows. Instead, the market makers sold them to us for 0.15, then offered them down to 0.13 a split-second later. Brokers have been barred for conduct less sleazy than that. In any event, the earnings news had Citi booking a $101M profit after reducing losses on toxic assets. This is of course a load of crap -- Citi's toxic assets, and those held by other big banks, would sink the banks if the paper were marked to market -- but the relative truth of the earnings spin should not have caused the stock to sell off as badly as it did. Assuming the selloff was engineered to knock Citi down for the benefit of its sleazy handlers, we should see the stock recover sufficiently over the next couple of weeks to allow us to spread off the calls, shorting December 7s, as originally planned.


