ESM15 – June E-Mini S&P (Last:2111.25)

ES target is too clear and compellingProgress to the 2130.50 target shown has been tortuous, to put it mildly. Given its clarity, however, there is little doubt that it will be reached, and precisely. A buy-and-hold strategy is out of the questions, since each marginal new high is giving way to a reaction several times the size of the incremental gain from one peak to the next.  A 2125.50 target also broached here earlier remains valid and should show some stopping power, although my hunch is that the one at 2130.50, which comes from a rally pattern of larger degree, will mark the end of the intermediate-term bull  cycle begun on April 5  from 2038.00. It can be shorted with a stop-loss as tight as three ticks — more aggressively so if you have been long on the approach, or if you use camouflage.