A Hidden Pivot target that I’d posted in the chat room Tuesday came within a few ticks of catching the low of yesterday’s monster rally (see inset). The trade could have been worth as much as $4600 per contract so far. Regardless of whether you caught the move, it has important implications going forward — especially if you are a bear panting for the chance to short into strength. It’s tempting, especially if you believe, as I do, that we are in a full-blown bear market that has a very long way to fall. However, because so many traders sees the rally as highly unlikely to achieve new record highs, it is bound to lure more than a few bears into acting recklessly.  Predictably, the shorter they get, the more the rally will gain in power when they have to cover.

Bottom line, we should be prepared for the sort of rally that defies logic and reality and which will exceed all expectations. We’ll have a better feel for its power once we’ve seen how minor corrections play out and the ease with which minor rally targets are exceeded (or perhaps not).  If corrective moves do NOT reach their targets, that will be our first clue that the countertrend will. That is precisely what happened at Tuesday’s 8:30 p.m. low: The futures reversed from a  ‘midpoint pivot’ at 1851.75 and never looked back.

For real time updates as more craziness unfolds, stay tuned to the chat room, where a hundred Pivoteers will be on hand to provide the play-by-play, just as they’ve been doing. Click here for a free trial subscription that will give you access not only to the chat room, but to daily actionable ‘touts’ and bulletins, ‘impromptu’ analysis sessions online and email alerts.