ESM16 – June E-Mini S&P (Last:2045.75)

Decisive move above ES trendlineWe can dispense with Hidden Pivot targets for the moment, since the trendline in the chart (see inset) looks good enough to guide us.  Looking just ahead, although the nasty short-squeeze off Thursday’s lows ran out of steam on Friday, look for it to get second wind for a thrust to the trendline. It will make itself felt at around 2059 if the futures get there by mid-day, and I’d be surprised if it gives way the first time it’s touched. If it does, however, take it as a sign that DaBoyz mean business and that they are fixing to torture bears for at least a few more days. _______ UPDATE (May 23, 7:08 p.m. EDT): Zzzzzzzz. The trendline noted above will be felt at around 2057.50 midday if this brick should somehow rally. If not and it falls, look for a precise test, potentially tradable, of the midpoint pivot, 2032.48. An easy breach of the support would imply more slippage over the near term to at least p2=2020.38, or, worst case, to D=2008.50.  Use these coordinates on the 15-minute chart to recreate the pattern: A=2069.50 (5/17); B=2022.00 (5/19); and C=2056 (5/23). _______ UPDATE (May 24, 9:35 a.m.): The short-squeeze rally begun in the middle of the night stalled initially at 1258.00, which I would surmise is exactly where the trendline has come in at this hour of the day. At the moment, a second-wind thrust to 1259.25 has occurred.  Let’s wait and see by how much the trendline is exceeded intraday; and whether the futures can close above it, which would be undeniably bullish.