I’ve called up a long-term chart for this interest-rate ETF today to show how yields on the 30-year T-Bond could fall to as low as 0.62% over the next several years. They’ve oscillated around 2.74% — the pattern’s midpoint Hidden Pivot — for nearly five years, but the thing to notice is that they breached that support twice decisively in the process. This is usually a sign that the trend will continue to the ‘D’ target with which the midpoint pivot is associated — in this case 6.24, or 0.624%. My hunch is that at some point the downtrend in yields will turn precipitous when all the bozos who have bought into the Fed’s economic recovery/inflation hoax have to unwind their huge mistake. The move could steepen initially when it becomes apparent that the Fed will have to ease when the housing and auto sector downturns currently in progress turn ugly and threaten to send the U.S. economy into deep recession later this year.
