Fed’s Powell Inches Toward the Ledge

Fed monetary policy inched toward suicide Wednesday with a 25-basis-point rate hike and a feint toward bumping up interest rates two more times next year. Are they trying to make certain that Trump doesn’t get re-elected? This interpretation is sounding less farfetched each day as the banksters continue to flout a global economic storm that is gaining strength by the week. It is manifest in the faltering economies of Germany and China, but also in the U.S., where the housing and auto sectors have begun to implode.

The Burden of Debt

If that weren’t enough to make Team Powell think twice about continuing to walk the walk, the collapse in oil prices is threatening to unleash a deflationary juggernaut on the financial world. The energy patch is where all the leveraging hellcats flocked when the U.S. began to emerge from the Great Financial Crash of 2007-08. Energy resources became a key source of collateral for heedless lending, which in turn created a global derivatives bubble with a notional value exceeding a quadrillion dollars. Every 25-basis-point rate hike increases the burden of debt on all of it, making a deflationary day of reckoning nearly inevitable. (Here’s a letter to the WSJ that explains why the ‘Fed put’, far from being dead, is eternal.)

  • John Jay December 20, 2018, 10:38 am

    Hi Rick,
    Here is a ps link to my first comment on unpopular Economic Reality…………
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V39msKp1v74
    Funny because it’s sooooooooo true!
    LOL!

  • John Jay December 20, 2018, 7:11 am

    So, our economic model is now so far from reality that a 2% and change Fed Funds rate will reveal the insanity of pouring trillions of borrowed money into stock buy backs, real estate, Gender Study student loans, and pointless MENA wars?
    Well, that is the way I see it!
    2% and change is where the FFR was in the 50s and 60s.
    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS
    What happened to GE, Sears, etc. since then?
    Assuming the Yellow Vests don’t take out the .01% it follows that………
    There are no solutions now, only consequences.