Ricks Picks

LYFT – Lyft Inc. (Last:52.90)


Lyft is all but guaranteed to fall a further 5% to the 53.60 target shown if Hidden Pivot analysis has got it right. A telltale sign that more weakness was coming was the way sellers sliced through the 64.85 ‘midpoint support’ last week. Scalpers can bottom-fish with a 53.62 bid, stop 53.54. Although there is not much price history on the stock, the pattern is still clear, clean and compelling, implying odds are good for a bounce from very near 53.60. The extent of it is unpredictable, but I would expect the stock eventually to continue down into the teens, since the company is unlikely in my opinion to make money. Ditto for Uber, which is hoping to go public at a $100 billion valuation equating to roughly $95/share. However, it seems probable that LYFT’s discouraging performance will keep a lid on the Uber IPO.  If the stock performs similarly to LYFT, falling in the first week or two by 39.5%, that would yield a share price of 57.47.  You read it here first. ______ UPDATE (Apr 29, 11:23 p.m.): This dog has fallen a further 11% to a so-far low at 54.32 that missed my target by 0.72, or 1.3%. As a practical matter, shorts should have been covered with a ‘dynamic’ trailing stop at 54.56. The target remains theoretically viable, but all rallies in the years ahead should be treated as dead-cat bounces, since the company is unlikely to turn an honest profit.

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Tuesday, August 20, 2019

The consistent accuracy of Rick Ackerman’s forecasts is well known in the trading world, where his Hidden Pivot Method has achieved cult status. Rick’s proprietary trading/forecasting system is easy to learn, probably because he majored in English, not rocket science. Just one simple but powerful trick -- managing the risk of an ongoing trade with stop-losses based on ‘impulse legs’ – can be grasped in three minutes and put to profitable use immediately. Quite a few of his students will tell you that using ‘impulsive stops’ has paid for the course many times over.

Another secret Rick will share with you, “camouflage trading,” takes more time to master, but once you get the hang of it trading will never be the same. The technique entails identifying ultra-low-risk trade set-ups on, say, the one-minute bar chart, and then initiating trades in places where competition tends to be thin.

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