GDXJ – Junior Gold Miner ETF (Last:117.63)

With its weak point ‘A’ low and its obviousness, the pattern shown should not be considered reliable for predicting a precise top. However, it can still serve us in several ways. For one, the easy move through p has shortened the odds of a rally to at least D=135.90. Also, a pullback to the green line would trigger a ‘mechanical’ buy sufficiently enticing that we should not want to miss it.  And if p2=123.76 shows stopping power, that would validate the pattern itself and its target. ______ UPDATE (Dec 20): Bulls further distanced this vehicle from the red line last week, increasing the likelihood that the 135.90 target will be achieved.  A pullback to the green line (x=99.49) in the meantime, however unlikely, should be viewed as an opportunity to get long or to augment an existing position ‘mechanically’.