Our Investment Choice for the Ages: a Warhol

If we were to pick the one investment most likely to outperform all others over the next hundred or even five hundred years, it would be a painting by Andy Warhol. The artist’s soup cans, Brillo boxes and Marilyn Monroe silkscreens will probably be as recognizable centuries from now as they are today, powerful icons of an age in which beauty itself came to be repudiated by artists and disdained by dealers (if not necessarily by their clients). Perhaps centuries from now, historians and art critics will have a better idea of how this came to be, and how even prestigious museums like the Whitney got hooked on trash. The longer these disturbing trends continue, however, the greater will be the dollar value of Andy Warhol’s works, since, even in their own time, his paintings forcefully evoke a civilization that ran amok aesthetically and morally.Leckie

Meanwhile, Warhol’s reputation and collectibility appear rock-solid even in hard times. Amidst a deepening global recession, buyers turned out at Sotheby’s last week to bid his paintings into the sky. The featured work, “200 One Dollar Bills,” one of the artist’s first silkscreen paintings, sold for $43.7 million. (I have not reproduced this painting because it is neither more nor less than you might have inferred from its title.) That was more than three times its high estimate of $12 million, and it helped push the auction to an impressive total of $134 million. Other less-prized Warhol works auctioned that night fetched similarly stunning prices. A sketch of roll of cash with a high estimate of $3.5 million drew a winning bid of $4.2 million, and a self-portrait with a top estimate of $1.5 million sold to a London collector for $6.1 million. Can you think of any other market as hot as this one? If Warhol is knocking ‘em dead as the Second Great Depression comes bearing down upon us, just imagine how his works will fare during the next boom perhaps 150 years from now. 

Leckie’s Virtues 

An appealing aspect of Warhol is that his works are relatively affordable compared to, say, a Rembrandt, Goya or Monet. Few collectors can touch works by those artists, but some of the best and rarest paintings by Warhol can still be had in these hard times for a mere $10 million. Even better news is that works by artists far more talented than Warhol – paintings like the one above, done by my college roommate, Geoffrey Leckie – remain within the reach of art lovers who value beauty over status. Indeed, the main reason for owning a Warhol is to tell the world you can afford one. Although this will always be part of the artist’s appeal, it fortunately will never negate the possibility that other artists will be more quietly appreciated many years from now for their painterly virtues.

  • Christ T. November 20, 2009, 6:41 am

    “Even now, there is a debate in the art world over whether restoring the cow carcasses, which have begun to rot, would compromise their integrity as “art”.

    That is hilarious, had not heard that before.
    Talk about overintellectualizing idiocy.

    Comparable to that is discussing whether moving Beuys’ putrid mountains of rancid tallow would destroy the art.

    As a kid, I remember the stink in the Guggenheim during the large retrospective and not getting the fat/felt/copper thing.
    Call me ignorant, but I still don’t.

    BTW, two other American artists who you may find interesitng:
    a)
    Anthony Triano, who was professor of art at Seton Hall U. (died 1997, see http://www.anthonytriano.com) — esp. the human forms from early 80s and the later flowers
    and

    b)
    Holmead (Charles Holmead Phillips), so little known in the US, though a PA native (worked mainly in Europe), that there is not even a wiki entry. He was an American expressionist, died in the early 1970s. Great landscapes, the portraits take some getting used to. pix on http://www.holmead.de, and a few more landscapes on artnet.

    &&&&

    Thanks for the recommendations, Chris. I’ll check them out. RA

  • Paul November 19, 2009, 8:54 pm

    Sounds like being an art restorationist has “legs” as a career choice over the next few centuries.

    Today’s WSJ article about coin collecting raises the issue of collecting the best (“registry sets”).

    Nice work by Mr. Leckie.

  • T'inker November 19, 2009, 8:33 pm

    Rick, I am impressed that you like Rothko and Pollock. I do too, as well as liking Warhol, but for different reasons. That you can be moved by the total abstraction of these artists is not as esoteric as might be supposed. Your ability to see beauty in the “delicate symmetry of a hidden pivot pattern etched out on the hourly chart” (sounds like something you might have said verbatim or close to it) speaks to this gift, or talent: to be able to allow one’s sense of beauty to guide one’s perceptions and hence one’s actions in the real world.
    Thanks for sharing that sensibility, as well as its practical applications in trading.

  • Christ T. November 19, 2009, 8:21 pm

    Forgot, like your friend Geoff’s work shown, very evocative…

    &&&&&

    The Venetian canal-scape doesn’t begin to show the range of Geoff’s talents. He does masterful portraits and still-lifes and has painted the California coastline in a way that captures its raw (and even inhospitable) beauty without a trace of postcard sentimentality. You can find more of his paintings by Googling Geoffrey Leckie.

    I would also suggest taking a look at the works of Debra Oropallo, another friend whose paintings are terrific. They seem to bridge the gap between the literate brain and whatever it has morphed into in an image-saturated world. Debra’s paintings were featured by the Whitney just before its trustees evidently leaped into the void. RA

  • Christ T. November 19, 2009, 8:18 pm

    To which list I would add the likes of:

    Koons, Bastiat, Johns, and agree with those mentioning Rothko and Pollock.here.
    Warhol is more of a draftsman than a painter, that is why he perhaps meets your definition better than the others?.

    But the most fitting example of your point, even better than Warhol IMHO, is Damien Hirst.
    What a charlatan, but what fools are those spending Warholesque money on this garbage.
    Formaldehyde cow, anyone?

    That best exemplifies
    “…got hooked on trash
    . .. these disturbing trends
    … forcefully evoke a civilization that ran amok aesthetically and morally”

    And he wasn’t even artistically creative, this “art” was available long before Hirst in medical-school supply house catalogs. All he came up with is marketing it as art.
    Or the spin paintings. His input? tell someone ELSE to throw paint at a wheel.

    By that measure, the artist of record for “David” should be Lorenzo de Medici, after all it was his idea to make one in marble. Michelangelo should be as unknown as those girls in DH’s art studio that did the paint tossing.

    BTW, the classic painters you mention oftentimes are much less expensive than the contemporary stuff we are discussing.

    &&&&&

    Hirst’s celebrity (and value) will perish in the flames. Even now, there is a debate in the art world over whether restoring the cow carcasses, which have begun to rot, would compromise their integrity as “art”. RA

  • Doug November 19, 2009, 7:19 pm

    Ben: Amen on Rothko. Apparently I am just not intelligent enough to appreciate an entire panel of purple. I used to go to the Rothko exhibit in Houston and marvel at those who had appreciation for something that seemed like a scam to me. I don’t understand Larry Summers financial genius, either. I think that 3 or 400 years from now, folks will “get” Monet (or Mozart), but like CDS (or fitty cent), and hare brained ideas like assuming public liabilities that never pencil, they will look at a Rothko and think, “what were they thinking? Purple, purple, and more purple…check it out http://www.rothkochapel.org/virtual-interior.htm
    Just my art ignorance, I suppose.

    &&&&&

    There is something about Rothko that is mysteriously pleasing to the eye. It’s as though he has dialed in the part of me that wants to meditate on a painting. Also, I can’t think of an artist who gets as much paint on a canvas while avoiding the pitfalls that instantly identify the amateur and the hack: “bad” colors and disconcerting composition. Rothko seems to get it very right, at least for me he does. If someone’s 12-year-old kid were to imititate Rothko, you would find that the kid had gotten it very wrong. RA

  • Don November 19, 2009, 4:30 pm

    An interesting side note on Warhol is that while he was mocking the general consumer culture with his statements of “art” his walls at home were adorned by works of the masters. He knew what to invest his money in!

  • ben November 19, 2009, 3:42 pm

    Warhols at least have that iconic recognition, so the price has a little validity. But what about that Rothko which sold for $72 million two years ago…if I didn’t know better, I wouldn’t take that thing if it was lying in the street…it looks like a 3 year old did it.

    &&&&&&&

    Personally, I like Rothko’s stuff, and Pollock’s too. The works of those artists will probably always command high prices, but they do not iconically summarize an era of civilizational decline as do Warhol’s works. They are merely prime representations of (non-figurative) artistic styles. Also, unlike Rothko’s and Pollock’s paintings, Warhol’s do not need to be “understood”; their message is uniquely accessible to all at a glance. RA

  • Tom Paine November 19, 2009, 2:27 am

    My walls are adorned with the paintings of my great grandfather. He did them as part of an art correspondence course that he took early in the twentieth century. I also have the clippings from art magazines that he used as his models. Some of the paitings are more or less copies, while others show more creativity. None are masterpieces, but I cherish them as part of my family heritage.