GCG12 – February Gold (Last:1601.30)

February Gold (GCG12) price chart with targetsI’d be surprised if the next big rally doesn’t come after late September’s 1543.30 low has been broken, but we should be ready for one nonetheless.  Although there’s no compelling, big-picture reason to try to get long at these levels via camouflage, the felicitous tedium of retracement rallies could provide us with some very low-risk spots to attempt it. For a precise idea of what I’m talking about, check out the annotated chart (inset), which shows two bullish patterns tied to a look-to-the-left external peak at 1611.40. (And yes, I know it is not a strictly-legit peak, since there is no stick-down low preceding it). Subtleties like the one shown, with a big-pattern impulse leg that has qualified as such by a single tick, are exactly what we should be looking for to get long.