SIN14 – July Silver (Last:19.160)

Bears have looked quite pathetic recently in their unheroic struggle to achieve the modest 18.450 downside target shown.  Their efforts would officially be categorized as a failure on a print above the 19.930 point ‘C’; however,  buyers seem to have no more energy  for that than do bears for promoting a washout. The result has been  stretch of airless tedium that could continue indefinitely, were such a thing possible.  Since the futures are near the bottom of their range, we might look to do some cautious bottom-fishing.  In practice, that might entail bidding at the p of D target of the small downtrending ABC pattern toward the right-hand edge of the chart.  I’ve sketched this hypothetically for your guidance.  _______ UPDATE (11:20 p.m.): The futures traced out  a very tradable low yesterday almost exactly as I’d sketched. If you did the calculation you could have gotten aboard for a 62-cent rally just one tick off the intraday low at 19.045 low, since the midpoint pivot that I’d labeled ‘p’ occurred at 19.050.