JYH17 – March Yen (Last:0.87760)

Golds chart and the yensI’ve included the yen in today’s list of touts because, for all intents and purposes, its chart is identical to gold’s. Furthermore, and for what it’s worth, the yen would become a ‘mechanical’ buy in theory if it returns to the green line on Friday as seems likely. That doesn’t mean the trade is a guaranteed winner. However, it would be most unusual for a bullish pattern with a such a strong impulse leg, and a high that nearly touched the ‘secondary pivot’ at 0.89901, to abort without having reached its D target at 0.90995. My read on the gold chart is somewhat more cautious, however, since a trend failure via a fall beneath C=1182.60 would not be unusual. In fact, it would be perfectly normal IF the narrow failure to reach D turns out to have telegraphed the resumption of the downtrend begun in early July.  One final note: If both of these rally patterns are about to fail, neither vehicle is going to pussyfoot with the green line. I would expect the breach of the line to be quick and decisive if we are to assume sellers have the moxie to take out the respective point ‘C’ lows. _______ UPDATE (Feb 13, 10:42 p.m. EST): The mechanical ‘buy’ at the green line (0.87730) triggered on Monday’s opening bar (click here for a chart that shows this).  If any subscribers got aboard, even if by way of an entry set-up other than ‘mechanical,’ please let me know in the chat room so that I can establish a tracking position. ________ UPDATE (Feb 14, 7:13 p.m.): There were no reports in the chat room of anyone having done the trade — ‘mechanically’ or otherwise — but it remains valid nonetheless for a shot at 0.91060 despite Tuesday’s Yellen-induced conniptions. _______ UPDATE (Feb 28): Place a stop-loss at 0.87930 for now. If it’s hit, anyone who held the position would come away with a profit of around $1250. _______ UPDATE (Mar 1, 11:33 p.m.): The position was stopped out around 6:15 a.m. for a theoretical gain of $1250.  If we’d ridden it to the so-far bottom, we’d have lost $750.