Worst Bet of the Decade

I’ve drum-rolled numerous rally targets over the course of this nine-year-old bull market, some ostensibly capable of stopping the herd in its tracks. A few worked beautifully — for a few days, anyway. But none contained buyers for much longer than that. Now, both the E-Mini S&Ps and the Dow are rapidly approaching the very last long-term targets I can offer that have what might be called eye appeal. I am not spotlighting either of them because betting against this bull has become like betting against Tom Brady, the Patriots’ aging but nonetheless unstoppable quarterback. I should mention as well that the E-Mini S&Ps pattern that produced the ‘interesting’ target just above is one of the strangest I’ve ever used. It comes from a composite chart and is therefore unlikely to work with penny-precision, assuming it works at all. Even so, you should check it out, along with the chart, in the E-Mini S&P tout below. And this one too, for the Wilshire 2500.   You never know.

  • none January 25, 2018, 6:23 am

    The fastest upward pricing in the INDU and SPX occurred in 1929 when the Dow rallied 29.9% in 94 days.

    The current rally is now up in the last 95 days 21%.

    Stock Market drop will be substantial.