Bull Market’s Fate Rests with Amazon

AMZN took off like a banshee on steroids Tuesday, topping within 25 cents of the 1506.94 target shown. The target had been disseminated in the Rick’s Picks chat room several hours earlier, when the stock was trading $25 lower. Whether or not AMZN blows past this Hidden Pivot resistance will determine whether the broad averages are likely to achieve new all-time highs. Amazon, as I have continued to emphasize, holds the key to the bull market. It is capable of dragging the entire universe of stocks higher on a given day, or of holding them buoyant on days when fund managers are sitting on their thumbs.  Because the pattern yielding the 1506.94 target is so clear and compelling, the target should show some stopping power. However, if buyers blow past it without pausing for even a day, I’d infer that they are determined to test the 1575.97 peak shown in the chart. If it is easily exceeded, that would imply that new record highs are likely — not just for AMZN, but for the Dow Industrials and the S&P 500. This does not fit my scenario of rising interest rates and corporate earnings that may have peaked in Q1.  Either factor alone would be sufficient to turn the bull market leaden or even crush it. However, as a rule, I always heed my charts regardless of what I think, and that is what I plan to do now. ______ UPDATE (April 18, 6:27 p.m.): See my latest AMZN ‘tout’ below for an analysis of today’s explosive, sequenced rally.

  • none April 18, 2018, 10:17 am

    The breakout of the new Commodity bull market at $DJUBS 91.22 will 1st move GC/SI/JPY/SF where GC may double over a 4-6 week period.

    Starting a latter leg for others commodities to enter in a timely period.

    This 1st commodity leg will place undo pressure on the equity markets far beyond reasons, a 50-70% decline would be inline.

    The DXY failure will start a ‘whole new ball game’ in town as the unexpected is without causes towards the overall affect of action. A test towards the 70.000’s is just what the ‘doctor order’ for the adjustment.

    INDU/SP are nearing lower 1st 20 trading day highs, which are selling levels to a larger degree in time and price.

    Metals along with energy may be the the 1st leg of the commodity bull.

    Have a great day Rick.