Buyers Chicken Out at a Crucial Threshold

Buyers fell 11 points shy of surpassing late February’s key recovery high, an achievement that would have generated an impressive ‘impulse leg’ on the daily chart. The earlier peak lay at 25,800 versus Monday’s intraday high at 25790. My hunch is that they will get past it on Tuesday, or at least within the week. But as a practical matter, and to be very cautious, I will treat a marginal breakout as a possible shorting opportunity via a ‘counterintuitive’ pattern. Assuming the Indoos do not first exceed 25790, a signal to get short, using DIA puts, would trigger on a drop to 25,176. Stay tuned to the chat room for guidance in real time if you care.

  • gary leibowitz August 21, 2018, 5:13 pm

    The TOP is in. Not THE top but one that will push this market down 20 percent from here. YUPO, all in next 2 to 3 months. Batten down the hatch. Ludicrous complacency at dark dangerous times. Turkey, Iran, China, Greece. You haven’t seen the worse. One day drops is all the market responded to. nasty dog day of summer upon us. in next few days a 90 to 100 SPX point drop is odds on favorite.

  • John Jay August 21, 2018, 11:45 am

    Let’s face it boys, it is high time Elon Musk takes a four month vacation in a screening room and breaks Howard Hughes record of watching “Ice Station Zebra” 150 times!
    That should chill him out and restore his sanity and life focus!

    LOL!