GCQ19 – August Gold (Last:1331.20)

We’ve been using the 1412.20 target shown in the chart to stay on the right side of the trend. It’s not quite a done deal, however, because the rally pulled back to the midpoint pivot at 1325.60 for a day before getting second wind. This suggests, if not weakness, then a mild hesitancy. It will not likely prevent the futures from achieving D=1378.00, but we’ll let price action at that ‘hidden resistance’ determine the odds of the higher target being achieved. Please note that a pullback to the red line would trigger a mechanical buy, stop 1308.10. A somewhat less risky bet would be to place our bid at the green line (1299.40), stop 1273.10. _______ UPDATE (Jun 11, 5:55 p.m. ET): If you bought at the red line (1325.60), exit half now for a profit of $560 per contract. Offer one of the two contracts remaining at 1347.30, o-c-o with a stop-loss at 1325.50 on two. _______ UPDATE: The rally has hit 1348.90 so far, allowing a profitable exit at 1347.30 on the third of four contracts (or multiple thereof) originally bought for 1325.60. The theoretical gain on this trade now totals $3290, plus an additional paper gain of $2170 for the contract still held. _______ UPDATE (Jun 14, 9:50 a.m.): I’m heartened to have heard from numerous subscribers who actually did the gold trade. At this point it’s a straightforward play for 1412.20 on the final contract (or final 25% of your position). With a $6000 profit to cushion you, you can afford to give this one a generous stop-loss. An impulsive stop using the hourly chart would take you out at 1337.20.