Obama Not to Blame for the Economy’s Collapse

We can’t recall ever having spoken a kind word about Barack Obama, nor do we even imagine him capable of saying or doing something that might bring us around. However, we do not – repeat, do not – blame him for the terminal state of the economy. It was headed irretrievably into a Second Great Depression long before he took office, and the things he has tried so far to forestall a day of reckoning are, for the most part, the same things that any president, Democrat or Republican, would have tried. Nothing would have worked, of course, because the deflation that the U.S. and the rest of the world have been trying so desperately to counteract is drawing irresistible force from an imploding derivatives bubble valued notionally at nearly a quadrillion dollars. Small wonder, then, that a relatively puny stimulus effort amounting to mere trillions of dollars has bought us only time, not growth, and done so in a way that will burden future generations with more debt than they will be able to service, let alone repay.

To be sure, a solution has always lain well outside the boundaries of political discussion. The best we could have hoped for was a legislative sausage pleasing to the tastes of Harry Reid and John Boehner alike.  But nothing those two could conceivably have agreed on would have brought the economy around. Nor would a change at the top have helped.  Put someone else in the White House not handicapped by Mr. Obama’s timidity, incompetence and cluelessness – New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie is our idea of the right guy for the job – and even he would have failed to slow the country’s slide into deepest recession, let alone reverse it. For in fact we face 30% unemployment, a wave of bank failures that will rival the 1930s, and a real estate washout that will double the devastation that has already occurred. All of this is coming, and even though a President Christie, in the heat of the banking crisis of 2008-09,  might have proffered the only correct answer – i.e., let the banks fail, allowing the markets to clear and the economy to right itself – it is inconceivable that he could have sold this course of non-action to Congress.

What Will Be ‘Money’?

And so, we can only wait nervously for the trigger event that will cause the economy to implode, unsanctioned. There is no predicting when this will occur, but the May 2010 Flash Crash provides strong reason to think that it will be mostly over – at least, the digital-financial part of it – in time for the evening news. The morning after, the desperate concern of nearly every American will be…money. It doesn’t take a rocket scientists to recognize that credit cards will no longer be the coin of the realm at that point. And just what might be? Silver and gold coins would be our guess, along with what little U.S. currency happens to be circulating when the music stops.  If you are not prepared for something like this now, you ought to be.  We’ll conclude with a link to the best book we’ve read to help you get ready, Sean Brodrick’s The Ultimate Suburban Survivalist Guide.

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  • Cactus October 13, 2011, 1:20 am

    Oh, my mistake, I didn’t realize this was a wingnut site…..(…backs away slowly….)

  • Joe October 10, 2011, 12:45 pm

    Hi Rick,

    I enjoy reading your weekly take on the economy. One thing I have to ask though … you and others often use the word “Collapse” when referring to the economy. And perhaps I am asking too much of you (after all, you’re not a seer or prophet, meaning you can’t know for sure every detail of what might transpire in your worst case scenario), but I would love for you to sort of clarify what you mean by the term “collapse.”

    Do you mean …

    — 30% unemployment (or 40%)? From what I read, the real unemployment numbers are now well over 20%, if we include the unemployed that have stopped looking for a replacement job at their former wage and benefits.

    — A dip in the stock market by another 40%-50%? Or more?

    — A drop in housing prices from the current median by another 50%? Or more?

    In other words, a bit of clarification would be helpful.

    If you have already done this and I’ve somehow missed it in your materials then I apologize. But I assume that by the term “economic collapse” you don’t mean “Armageddon” … or, “total collapse of civilization as we know it.”

    Many Thanks,
    Joe F

  • John Jay October 9, 2011, 4:22 pm

    From Zero Hedge Comments:
    “This last decade we lost three greats: Johnny Cash, Bob Hope, and now Steven Jobs. The world is truly a more bleak place: No Cash, No Hope, and now, no Jobs.”

  • Jill October 9, 2011, 1:38 am

    Just think if every pres and every Congress person had no habit of reckless spending, and no habits of dishonesty or corruption, but instead was just over-eating and obese. Would be great for all of us.

  • Jill October 9, 2011, 1:10 am

    Almost every one of us has some bad habit that we have been unable or unwilling to stop. Do you not have any? Of all the bad habits for a pres to have, overeating is not the worst by far. With most presidents and most Congress folks we have had, if their only bad habit was over-eating, the country would be far better off.

  • joe johnson October 8, 2011, 4:29 pm

    Chris Christie for prez? get real Ackerman. In a recent interview the sloth was asked about his weight problem. His response was it was simply too much knife and fork, he just loves to eat. So, in your opinion, a man that doesn’t have enough self disipline to stop eating himself to death is the best man for the top post in America. I guess that actually makes a lot of sense considering we are a nation of obese people that lack disipline. Good call.

  • 2007/2011 dji charts at h&sh top look alike October 8, 2011, 2:49 pm

    just looked at 5 year dji candlestick chart, and was surprised to see how the action coming off the head&shoulders tops of both 2007 and 2011, are so similar, almost identical.

    because the action in both, coming off the last shoulder, is a sudden 1000+ point drop.

    then, they both go into a 2+ month fast churning up & down, looking like an accordion pattern.

    in 2007, this accordion pattern ended in a 2 months bear rally, back up to the underside of the 200 moving average, which also happened to be the bottom of the neckline of the h&sh.

    flash to now: if this late 2007 bear rally were to occur again in late 2011, it would take the dji back to 11,900 over next 2 months, since 11,900 is where the dji 200 day m.a. would be by then. additionally, 11,900 also just happens to be, the neckline of the current h&sh.

    then if history would repeat itself, the major double chart resistance should be: the 200 day m.a. and the bottom of h&sh. neckline.

    so: if 2007 history is to repeat itself in 2011,
    ————————————————–
    expect a bear rally over next 2 months back to 11,900.
    ————————————————————

    after that: everybody knows what happened in 2008.

    so 2012 should be a repeat.

    technically panic speaking, that is: if 2012 panic patterns, continue same panic patterns of 2008.

    that is: patterns of ever increasing monthly panics, but punctuated with occasional weeks of panic relief.

  • Ken5421 October 8, 2011, 12:49 am

    Hi.

    Like many people when Barack got in I thought – fantastic! Now we will get progress! Like many I was disappointed. I agree with Rick – that Barack is not to blame for US economy. Could he have done more? sure. But then i think to myself – maybe the best thing he could do is NOT do anything! I’m no expert. I read the blogs and news like everyone else and sometimes comment. But this has always bugged me. is Barack a trojan horse. Or is he just letting the banks strangle themselves. letting them dominate his office knowing full well that they will only speed up the inevitable. maybe he will not survive in power. But a complete melt down wil necessitate a need to start again – and start properly. If I find a reason to defend Barack – then that is it. To let Wall Street hang themselves.

    My other point is does anyone think there is anything within the “Road to Roota” fed document. Some claim that it carries a cryptic message. Very interesting piece on silver bull 07 on google.

    Finally – silver prices. Should we assume that as bank share prices are dragged lower – the same will happen to silver? I mean if it has been short sold via paper or whatever by all these big banks then would it not decrease in price as bank shares like JPM go down. And in the event of bank failure moonshot up. I see a case for higher silver prices in event of inflation but what about bank failure of someone like JP Morgan?

    Anyway – that is my two cents worth. Rick – I love the blog. Keep up the good work.

    cheers

    Ken Lovegrove

    • Chris T. October 8, 2011, 2:17 am

      trojan horse?

      He has been in office for more than 2 1/2 years.
      Just go back to the spring and summer of 2008, and compare the promises and rhetoric to what was implemented.
      That is all the answer you need.
      In that way he follows right along the presidential path like Reagen, HW, Slick W, & W.

      Bix Weir’s comments on the fed publication are certainly interesting, though as to the actual validity of the theory, who knows?
      The internal logic works, and the comic is certainly very very strange…

      Silver:
      In a comment from a few articles back, someone posted a link to an article about the silver short position being reduced drastically, down about 2/3.
      Take a look there.

  • Chris T. October 7, 2011, 9:28 pm

    “…what he was told to do. … a country lawyer from Whittier ..”

    Oliver Stone sure got that part right in his “Nixon” film, whatever else may be flawed about his ideology.

  • John Jay October 7, 2011, 8:07 pm

    davidnrobyn,
    Eisenhower had his own agenda, but no one dared screw with him, he still had the military in firm control and used them when he needed to. When what has happened to us with open borders first started back in the 1950s because ranchers wanted cheap labor, Ike ignored the political pressure. (Among the pro-illegals, who else, LBJ.) Ike put one of his old generals in charge of the Border Patrol and a thousand agents caused a million illegals to go home or get put on boats back to the bottom of Mexico. Anyway, when JFK tried to go his own way, he just made enemies in the military. Especially after the Bay of Pigs when he would not start WWIII over it like Curtis LeMay and the rest advised.
    If there was a plot against him and the military knew, there was no one to go to bat for him. Since then, every POTUS has been very careful to go along with what he was told to do. I sincerely doubt a country lawyer from Whittier dreamed up the “let’s be friends with China” scheme. End game now.

  • Chris T. October 7, 2011, 6:23 pm

    “Good point Farmer Tom — One EMP weapon detonation or major solar flare ”

    GoldenEye!

    Not for traders probably:
    how registering your shares?

    How many accounts of “investors” actually include encumbered shares, meaning those that have been borrowed for lending to shorties?

    In a net-out-now, see-who-owns-what scenaria, which of the parties with claims to the same shares will get them, and who will hear: sorry, you just have a claim against the lender?

    Because all shares that are shorted, not just the ones in delivery default are fiat-shares….

    Registration would break the link?

  • Jim N October 7, 2011, 6:16 pm

    Spot on Rick…for a while now i so feel like Mr negative, and while we will see some “surges”, which are nothing but the surge from the cup from the water entering the bucket, the status quo just refuses to see the holes in the bucket. So I am always Mr negative. I suspect most of us on this forum are ususally pretty upbeat , positve people, but realists as well. I am pleased to see how you wrote so clearly, with your analogy that…..there is no solution. Letting the old system just bleed out and die will be painful for sure, even for all those prepared folks. But it potentially then has the promise of a future, hopefully built on a more solid financial system.

    If i were Chris Christie, i wouldn’t run to oversee the collapse of an unfixable wreck. So i am not surprised.

    Although on a positve note, my son and i have been looking at opportunities for manufacturing here. Just thinking that opportunities should again pop up. I read how Otis elevator is relocating its Mexican operation back to south Carolina….a very small thing, and maybe an outlier event, but i like seeing that…..

    • Farmer Tom October 7, 2011, 10:05 pm

      “Although on a positive note, my son and I have been looking at opportunities for manufacturing here”.

      Brilliant. I think that is tremendous Jim. I wish more people were in the mood to get productive again and do so with their own initiative. It is about taking control of our lives again and not being a victim of a system gone haywire. We know, at the end of the day the government cannot save most of us and millions are already falling between the cracks. At this moment in time though they are more than prepared to throw money and offer grants to entrepreneurs who have an idea and can create some fresh employment. That is a gift from the taxpayer to those who are industrious and prepared to make a difference while creating a new business. I say take the gift, make the most of it and I wish you the best of luck.

      It is just so rare to hear about anyone wanting to start a business anymore……I even feel a little inspired.

  • Oliver October 7, 2011, 5:21 pm

    Thanks Rick. What about Jon Huntsman?

  • Jacques Redou October 7, 2011, 5:04 pm

    The rich suck their free profits off the top.
    The poor suck their free profits off the bottom.

    Greed and corruption at the top.
    Socialism at the bottom.

    The middle class picks up the tab.

    Obama is the hired mouthpiece of both.
    He is a BIG part of the problem.
    He has got to go.

    • John Jay October 7, 2011, 7:37 pm

      Jacques Redou,
      The top 1% have:
      40% of the wealth
      20% of the income
      5% of the debt
      The “Higher, tighter, righter hands” of George the 1st are a reality. And it could be worse than that, 70% of the country is now living paycheck to paycheck. We are getting close.

    • mava October 7, 2011, 9:40 pm

      This is the biggest trap, and the easiest to fall into:

      You look at your country and you see that someone has whatever, say 99 percent of wealth. You think you have seen the problem.

      99 times out of 100, the “solution” that would be chosen by the people, would be to somehow “equalize” the wealth. At that point, you have committed the greatest mistake and there is little you can do to undo it, usually, you would have to wait until the next collapse.

      The real problem, the one that needs to be fixed, is that some are assisted by the state in accumulation of their wealth, and not that their wealth is great, because, even so, they could have actually created that much goods and services.

      Therefor, what needs to be done is a complete removal of any possible way that the state can affect one’s wealth, positively or negatively, unless the crime of involuntary violent involvement was committed, and the state is simply returning from the convicted to the victim.

      Example: you can chase wealthy till the end of your days, but as long as the poorest guy at the bottom gets one free penny by the violence of the state, then the rich will always be able to turn that around in their favor. Just like to a smart trader, it is not important which way the market is swinging, but only the fact that it is.

  • davidnrobyn October 7, 2011, 4:55 pm

    Hard to say whether BO or a Republican president would have spent us deeper into the hole since 08. What’s really amazing, however, is the total disconnect between economic reality and the socialist agenda which requires ever-more trillions in blood out of the turnip which is our economy. I have to believe the people in DC on both sides of the aisle are a little brighter than that. So who’s pulling the strings, anyway?

    • redwilldanaher October 7, 2011, 5:12 pm

      They may technically be brighter but their sociopathic tendencies are so strong they may actually believe that they aren’t on the “wrong” end of the set of strings. Think remake of Sunset Boulevard with Nancy P. as Norma Desmond “All right NBC, I’m ready for my close-up.”

    • Jill October 9, 2011, 1:35 am

      David, you’ve got to be kidding. Congress is owned by its Special Interest Group campaign contributors totally, and every president is too.

      Congress folks do not need to be bright. The job consists of opening up their hands, taking the money, and giving the big donors the legislation they have paid for, or blocking the legislation that the big donors have paid to block.

      Congress functions with the efficiency of a fine Swiss watch. Anyone who does not know that , does not realize who it is that Congress is working for.

      Of course specifically who is pulling the strings is, by law, able to be kept secret– since campaign donors to certain types of campaign funds can by law be kept secret. The secret donors could turn out to be the governments of the countries to which U.S. jobs get outsourced, for all we know– or Saudi Arabia or Iran or any country, company, organization, or person that we would rather not be influenced by. And the law dictates that we have no right to know this.

  • mario cavolo October 7, 2011, 4:09 pm

    Nice Rick, easy to agree with the idea that it doesn’t matter very much who sits in the office of the Presidency… that office also kowtows with little choice to the various monetary interests, elites, lobbies, pharma, oil, insurance, powermongers, etc in Washington…The system is a “vehicle” with the office of the Presidency but one part of the engine, certainly not the engine driving the vehicle or even the steering mechanism capable of choosing the road the vehicle goes down…the whole thing is a genuine cl&^%f*&k and despicable…Cheers, Mario

  • Rick Ackerman October 7, 2011, 4:03 pm

    His putrid commie health plan will never be enacted, Mava. Even still-born, though, it is hugely raising our premiums. But that’s just a drop in the bucket compared to things that have been going on for two generations that have brought on a new Depression.

    • mava October 7, 2011, 9:28 pm

      True. The cause of the collapse is the three events that happen in 1913, 1933 and 1971, not the healthcare plan per se.

      I was saying that Obama did done something that only few presidents would do, namely the likes of Wilson, Roosevelt and Nixon. Wilson also had a nerve to write “I have unwillingly ruined my country…”, pretending that he didn’t actually know that when he was ruining it.

  • mava October 7, 2011, 3:55 pm

    Oh, I see. Obama hasn’t done anything that any other president wouldn’t do?

    What about turning this great country into “in your face communist” prison camp when he declared that no one shall have a freedom to buy or not to buy health insurance from his insurance friends?

    Have you all forgotten about that? Yeah, that same legal act that also outlawed gold purchases (aka capital control act) that can be executed without paying the accumulated inflation in one lump sum?

    Wow, people. Anything he can do to make you notice? Anything at all? Does he have to like, burn the American flag to get noticed?

    • SkiGuy October 9, 2011, 5:56 am

      Mava, Willard Mitt Romney did a similar thing with health care in Massachusetts. And look at the so-called conservative Republicans rubbing up to Mitt today. The Republicans have a good change of nominating a socialist.

      Best wishes.

  • joe U October 7, 2011, 3:33 pm

    President Obama said yesterday that banks were using new consumer protection regulations as an excuse to raise everyday fees. If you use banks and credit cards, you will know that is true.
    No wonder there are protests going on. The banks get money from the government for almost free, and loan it at the highest amount they can get. They are supposed to do that, I know, but they are not supposed to scalp the customer. Do that and they will lose money in the long run.

    • Larry D October 7, 2011, 5:20 pm

      That’s why I like my credit union. The “we’re for people, not for profit” jingle they play makes me giggle – they charge interest on loans after all – but hell, switch if you can.

  • Jim October 7, 2011, 3:26 pm

    It’s amazing how much credibility an article has when it doesn’t take a partisan view. You’re right, the economy was headed down and nothing could be done about it. Not by an expert politician with a perfect strategy nor a junior congressman listening to the lobbyist after he became president. President Obama was not the evil person that some news stations would have you believe, he was just a bit naive and ill-equipped to deal with death-spiral the economy was, and still is, in. Thanks again Rick.

    • redwilldanaher October 7, 2011, 4:52 pm

      Barry Soetoro was and is a nothing, an empty suit if there ever was one. Worse, he’s a puppet of an empty suit. Still, I agree with Rick’s main point, the madness of decades of markets malfeasance assured us of a day of reckoning long before Barry was installed as Distractor in Chief.

  • PhotoRadarScam October 7, 2011, 2:46 pm

    One thing that Obama and previous presidents could have done is pursue prosecutions for all of this fraud. No one banker has gone to jail over all of this. Prosecutions would send a strong message and be a threat to keep bankers more honest.

    • John Jay October 7, 2011, 4:13 pm

      PhotoRadarScam,
      It is not in the script he was handed to play in his role of POTUS. The Wall Street banksters are not going to write themselves out of the plot. I will bet nothing happens with Fast and Furious ATF gun running either. State sanctioned crimes are not crimes at all. I think Nixon said, “If the President does it, it is not a crime.” Also, “I am not a crook, your President is not a crook.” We just have bigger, bolder criminals now.

    • Larry D October 7, 2011, 5:14 pm

      You don’t prosecute your campaign financiers.

    • redwilldanaher October 7, 2011, 5:23 pm

      Larry, very nicely put. That would make it much more difficult to raise funds the next time around and could jeopardize the 4 more years of golfing for you and good old fashioned extravagance for your wife. Plus, at least MSNBC viewers are still there to listen to him now, imagine how tough it would be to fill even a diner with listeners once he’s a retired puppet.

  • Oliver October 7, 2011, 2:02 pm

    Why do you endorse Chris Christie, instead of Ron Paul?

    • Rick Ackerman October 7, 2011, 3:59 pm

      Paul is great — but absolutely unelectable. His entire agenda, most particularly Task #1, doing away with the Federal Reserve, is beyond the pale for Congress.

    • charles October 7, 2011, 6:49 pm

      I have Ron Paul stickers on both bumpers only as a matter of principle since I do believe that he really isn’t electable.

    • Rich October 7, 2011, 7:22 pm

      Shame on both of you for repeating the cabal monopoly media mantrum.

      Ron Paul winning real polls not reported by craven presstitutes trying to fill in the blank with Michele Bachmann, Rick Perry or Herman Cain.

      Why else did TX cancel their straw poll?

      The GOP nomination will be won in Tampa by delegates pledged only to the first round vote, why the RNC tried to jury-rig the middle primaries, but failed.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Republican_Party_%28United_States%29_presidential_primaries,_2012

      When things get tough enough, Ron Paul will be written in and elected if it comes to that.

      Otherwise we will have no government, only martial law.

      Ron Paul is the only candidate with the Consitutional solution for what ails US…

    • SkiGuy October 9, 2011, 5:53 am

      Rick, Would like to see you at the state GOP convention.

      1) Register R right now (if not already R).
      2) Go to your caucus evening of Feb 7 for a couple hours. Sit around table with neighbors from your precinct and have them vote for you.
      3) Get through county assembly – easy thing on a Saturday morning. Similar to step 2.
      4) Go to state GOP convention. Meet me and 100s of other RP supporters.

      We are going to have fun!

  • Buster October 7, 2011, 12:59 pm

    I’ll give you a bucket, a cup & a nail, with the task to fill the bucket with water.
    The rules are quite simple. Each time you pour another cupful into the bucket you must also knock another hole in the side of the bucket with the nail.
    I’m gonna’ sit here on my dry piece of ground & watch you run backwards & forwards trying to fill it. You can employ as many of your friends to help you in the task. In fact I think you should run an add for helpers as you’re clearly gonna need a hand to do all this work.
    Just remember to put anothor hole in the side of that nice shiny bucket with each cupful.

    Can anybody understand why the financial system is never going to work for the productive part of the economy, whilst the unproductive part (Banksters/Elitists) keep getting their barren land watered for no effort…other than the odd chuckle at how stupid we all are to not get the point & waste our time arguing semantics?

    Hint: Only the principle is created by the loan. The interest is never brought into existence. Unless a new borrower enters the economy, then the interest will eventually take all the money out in payments to the lender. It is a system designed to benefit those who schemed it. It is designed to transfer wealth from the producers into the hands of those who only produce debt, not even real money as they were charged with.
    The economy could be fixed almost instantly by changing the rules of the game. Then there would be no need for austerity. In fact the bucket would overflow with an abundance to the point where even the Banksters barren lands would get watered. But it would upset their ego as their status is lowered compared to their fellow man.
    The problem is human nature & will keep recurring endlessly no matter how many times we replace those at the top. Human beings have not got the necessary qualities to rule ourselves successfully long term. In the absence of just power it is best to simply limit the concentration it.
    Limiting government is the most sensible course for damage limitation, yet human society painfully moves in the oposite direction with big goverment. The greed & lust for power & control of the Elitists knows no bounds. A world governent & a world currency are on their minds. The ship is on course & the chaos is all just a smoke screen.
    Failing an outside force intervening we are all damned as a result.
    We just don’t all realise it yet!

    • fallingman October 7, 2011, 3:31 pm

      Well said my friend. Well said.

    • redwilldanaher October 7, 2011, 4:46 pm

      Buster,

      Agreed.

  • SD1 October 7, 2011, 6:22 am

    The flash crash: I have always believed it was a “pre-determined,” bankster snow job creating just enough fear to scare people out of their long positions any time we see a quick drop in the markets.

  • Farmer Tom October 7, 2011, 5:56 am

    And since we are on the subject, might we also assume our trading accounts would vanish overnight, paper gold instantly turn worthless, ETF’s vaporize along with the backers who offered them and our cash on hand be lost in the vacuum of our brokerages and banks falling off a cliff? Hell, many people don’t even get paper copies of trades any more. Just electronic missives. How would you even prove net worth…..

    Yikes. Has anybody else wondered about this possibility?

    • John Jay October 7, 2011, 4:04 pm

      Good point Farmer Tom
      One EMP weapon detonation or major solar flare will create real problems. Every once in a while I do a screen print from all my accounts and keep it in my SD box. At least I have some proof that my accounts existed.

  • Farmer Tom October 7, 2011, 5:39 am

    And right about that time….just when it looks the darkest, the opportunists will appear on the scene to siphon off your vehicles fuel tank while you sleep and steal your half full propane cylinder from your barbecue (it’s as good as money itself).

    Of course we would go straight into a barter system. Better to be prepared ahead of time than to be desperately giving up urgently needed goods in trade for food and fuel at the worst possible moment. And if the banks had a holiday, many PM owners would find the doors locked and their safety deposit boxes off limits.

    I agree a store of cash at home is an absolute essential. Recall the experience of those in Japan who were unable to flee the reactors as the ATM’s and credit system had gone down. Only cash could get you what you needed and then, only if the fuel stations and pumps were operational. Plenty of people ran out of their remaining gas just waiting in a lineup for their turn at the pumps only to discover they could not have it without cash anyway.

    But gold and silver? I will take my chances with food stores and supplies, light sources, fuel and canned goods. You know, the stuff people actually need when the lights go out on the financial system. Too few appreciate the value of metals but everyone knows the value of comfort and hot meals.

    Lets just hope it never comes to that, Rick.

  • gary leibowitz October 7, 2011, 3:27 am

    You stole my cumulative prior posts! Plagiarizer! All kidding aside, since these are my exact sentiment I have absolutely nothing to add.

    Well maybe one. Chris Cristie talks the talk but will never walk the walk if he had the top honcho’s job. Can you imagine him answering “it’s none of your business” when asked why he would allow the largest banks in the United States to fail.

    On the equities front I have made some good money these past few months, part luck and timing. I bet the recent lows a bit early, at SPX 1130, anticipating a large fast rally. If it does occur it will happen now. We could see a high around 1255 and a possible crash scenario at the end of this month. I for some reason am a streak player. I am actually 6 for my last 6 bets, a rocord for me. These bets were for large swings in the market.

    I think the day of reckoning is here. Late October.

    • SD1 October 7, 2011, 5:38 am

      Well, you can take solace in that six out of seven is pretty darned good, Gary.

    • gary leibowitz October 7, 2011, 2:20 pm

      Yes I can. Never believe in your own hype.

    • Jill October 9, 2011, 1:40 am

      Congrats, Gary! Good for you!

    • Jill October 9, 2011, 10:53 pm

      Gary, let us know if you start your own trading newsletter.

  • Rich October 7, 2011, 1:43 am

    Serious stuff Rick.
    We are beyond the point of blame.
    From now on it is every man for himself.
    Maybe it always was, as Adam Smith called this the invisible hand of the free market.
    Too bad government and Wall Street are trying to control what cannot be controlled.
    Realizing liquidity preference is the order of the day before the market music stops may be essential for survival and future prosperity.
    Bank, market and government shutdowns may be in the cards…

  • John Jay October 7, 2011, 1:27 am

    If you take the position that all his campaign promises to end the AfPakIraq wars, post all legislation on the internet for citizen review, etc. were simply bold lies, then you are correct. He could have done a lot of things, but every POTUS since JFK was liquidated does not set the real agenda, that is supplied to him before he gets very far in the election process. In fact, I would go so far as to say that the GOP took a dive in the last Presidential election. I think however that there is a growing sense of outrage among the electorate, which may, or may not be expressed in 2012. Even at their lowest eb, Clinton and W always had some supporters. Obama seems to have no one supporting him, even the Dems are fed up with him.

    • redwilldanaher October 7, 2011, 4:55 pm

      JJ, you seem to be forgetting about the dead and undead. In Democrat Land 10% of the electorate “ghost votes” and 30% are Zombies. I’d say that Barry already has 40% of the vote locked down.

    • davidnrobyn October 7, 2011, 5:02 pm

      JJ, I’ve been suspecting the same for several years now re JFK’s “liquidation” and his successors being, let us say, directed, by–? I also wonder how many others have been wondering the same thing?

    • redwilldanaher October 7, 2011, 5:03 pm

      david, I can’t provide you with solid numbers but I do believe that the number is growing and at an increasing clip.

  • charles October 7, 2011, 1:20 am

    Rick is right! Please, no one sided, politician’s arguments, overanalized and partison. Let’s agree that everyone is to blame!

    • Cabernet October 7, 2011, 1:10 pm

      I take no blame. I vote for libertarians and constitutionalists. I save a little every paycheck. I did not buy an overpriced house. I wrote my congressman and senator to vote against the wars and bailouts. I right them from time to time, to get rid of regulations and entire government departments. But thanks for handing me the bill.

    • fallingman October 7, 2011, 3:25 pm

      Hahaha. Well said. EXACTLY.

      I’m pretty tired of the “everyone’s to blame” thing myself, an absurd theme that keeps showing up on this site. I take no blame either, because I too am completely blameless, but perhaps we’re “overanalizing.”

      Here’s my response to the bankers, the politicians and the rest of the combine who put us in this position.

      Analize this!

    • redwilldanaher October 7, 2011, 5:02 pm

      Sorry Charlie, but the “everyone is to blame” trick only works on kids. There’s a bunch of us out and about that have been ridiculed for decades and decades and kept on the margins because we strongly believed that these times and much worse (As Rick alludes to) would eventually be the end results of the hyper-corruption and hyper-deformation of markets courtesy of Mordor on the Potomac and its Landlords. Barry is a mere puppet that exacerbated an already hopeless situation but I do agree with Rick that this path was chosen long before Barry and his GIANT EGO were installed as Distractor in Chief.